Guo Shengshan:6.22晚间黄金涨跌趋势分析，原油操作建议

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　黄金近期超幅过山车巨震，首先下探1825Strong pull up after low position1878Then it rose and fell back to break through1825Starting point to1805得以止跌。故此行情节奏没什么规律，多空延续性较差，处于大起大落反复阶段。隔日亚欧盘依然徘徊在1830—1845区间进行震荡，晚间美盘冲高1843承压回落至1830附近。目前日线处于低位震荡，布林三轨呈现走平运行，冲高1878位置回落从而完成主跌浪的调整4浪，目前就看主跌浪的第5浪走低了，既然是主跌浪那么肯定是一浪比一浪低。四小时开始震荡下行至1825低点，当前1830已经出现失守迹象，短期局势已经震荡偏空，空头略胜一筹。

　　早上一路做空如鱼得水，但是晚上突破俄罗斯餐厅袭击导致避险，黄金大幅上涨，消息增大波动幅度和力度不会改变趋势，所以现在1843上依然短空进行，1847reach1850区域补仓空1855损目标再次看新低，晚上有美联储货币政策讲话，如果加息预期强烈，那么还是继续下跌，也许刚才就是一波诱多，不要一日波动改变三观，目前继续做空顺势进场，虽然偶尔损，只要趋势不变，那么就是坚持即可，切记1843只参与做空，多单不去追， 大涨大空，小涨小空，大跌破位追空。

　　日线上，目前黄金基本确认了上方20Daily line1843-45The effectiveness of suppression in the area, if the market cannot turn up in the short term20On the daily chart, it is difficult for bulls to achieve a reversal, so20The daily chart is also considered a necessary technical condition for short-term reversal, as long as20If the daily chart is not taken down by bulls, the overall situation will be slightly bearish. Although the daily trend tends to be sideways in a large range, the short-term market is below the moving average, and there is still a possibility of further support from the lower edge of the range. If the short-term market continues to retreat, the lower edge of the range may be expected1810-07Nearby support testing.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Wednesday(6month22day)，国际油价暴跌逾5%，NYMEX原油创5month12Recently, it has reached a new low103.20dollar/桶。美国总统拜登推动遏制并逆转燃料成本飙升，包括向该国主要能源企业施压，以帮助减轻夏季消费高峰期间广大司机的痛苦。一位了解该计划的消息人士称，由于美国是世界上最大的石油消费国，正努力应对汽油价格飙升，预计总统拜登将在周三呼吁暂停对每加仑汽油征收18.4美分的联邦汽油税。达拉斯联储经济学家Garrett Golding表示，高昂的汽油价格可能很快就会抑制燃料需求，预计消费者会通过削减燃料消耗和整体支出来做出回应。高油价引发的高通胀对拜登和及其所在的民主党构成重大政治问题，因为他们面临11月中期选举，民主党目前在国会的优势仅有微弱多数。拜登此前已经采取了许多手段来试图降低油价，包括创纪录地释放美国战略储备以及呼吁主要OPEC国家加速增产。周二公布的最新政府数据显示，美国炼油能力在2020Annual decline8010000 barrels/日的基础上，2021年下降了125790bucket/日，连续第二年下降，原因是工厂停工不断削弱其产能。有分析师认为，由于投资者讨厌任何不确定性，即使已知在现行供求关系背景下是不合理的，且政府似乎也对高通胀表现出恐慌，拜登不间断地对油企施压还是带来了卖压。

　　原油行情走势分析；原油昨日小阳星KLine sorting and leveling, with the highest rebound reaching111.16一线承压，尾盘相对还是收在了低位，今日开盘后开始走弱，日线经过两个交易日的整理修正，短线有进一步下行的迹象，整理后的转换走弱。4The rebound correction in the downward step of the hour, which hit the pressure on the Bulling Road mid track yesterday, although it did not lower in the end of the day, it began to decline at the beginning of today's trading, with signs of a downward break near the low point,4Looking back at the hour.1The extended wave in the downward wave of the hour chart, the previous high point of the step has not been recovered, and yesterday's rebound was also the last high point of the previous late rebound112.20下方承压。短线仍有下行风险，初步支撑在上周五低点106.40附近，如果失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。不过，油价连续两天在106.40附近获得支撑，55日均线支撑也在该位置附近，周一更是录得了十字星，需要提防油价重拾涨势的可能性，初步阻力在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力在112.53附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注108.0-109.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.0-101.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.