Guide Metallographer:6.22今日黄金走势分析，待鲍威尔国会证词破局

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Wednesday(6month22day)，国际金价连续第四个交易日下跌，但金价区间震荡格局尚未改变，投资者等待美联储就其货币政策计划提供新的线索。欧盟对俄潜在新制裁的目标盯上了黄金，可能给市场带来新的不确定性。

　　市场参与者关注美联储主席鲍威尔即将在国会发表的证词，可能会给金价带来额外下行压力。调查显示，美联储可能会在7Monthly interest rate hike again75个基点，然后在9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点，最早要到11月才会回归常规的单次会议25个基点加息幅度。

　　OANDASenior AnalystJeffrey Halley表示：“黄金目前满足于横向区间盘整……如果鲍威尔今晚表现得鹰派，随着收益率再次上升，我们可能会看到美元再次走强，这将推低金价；否则，我预计市场影响很小。”

　　但有迹象显示，美联储在可预见的未来不会就加息100个基点达成任何共识。这进而被视为对美元计价大宗商品提供一定支撑的关键因素，交易员不愿大举看跌黄金。

　　风险情绪——正如全球股市强劲反弹所描述的那样——抑制了避险资产黄金的任何有意义的上涨。除此之外，对美联储将保持激进的紧缩政策立场的预期，推高了美国国债收益率，这进一步阻碍了金价的上涨。

　　里士满联储主席巴尔金周二(6month21day)表示，美国经济不会很快恢复到过去十年的稳定增长、就业和通胀水平。值得注意的是，美国总统拜登和财政部长耶伦试图说服市场，对经济衰退的担忧并非不可避免，但市场并不买账。

　　欧盟领导人预计将在本周的峰会上对俄罗斯实施新一轮制裁，这次的目标可能是黄金。如果出现这种情况，可能会给黄金价格带来更多的不确定性。黄金是俄罗斯中央银行的一项重要资产，由于西方制裁，该央行在获取部分海外资产方面面临限制。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金日线周期于震荡顶部1857附近收乌云盖顶形态后，后续录得一根纺锤线，建议高空为主！上方关注1844-1854短线阻力，破位看1874; Follow Below1820-1800短线支撑。4Hour cycle on1857附近构筑圆顶形态后，后市收阴震荡下行，现行情整体受阻于20日均线之下，后市整体看下行。1Hour cycle local to1842附近再次录得圆顶形态，后续收一系列的小实线和纺锤线整体表现为震荡下行，目前整体构筑屏障三角形形态，如图中红色箭头所示：即顶部不断下降，但行情整体站稳于水平支撑1833附近。根据相关理论，屏障三角形突破的方向为水平方向，随着凌晨破位1830一线，那么势必会寻找下方支撑，故短期操作上建议高空为主。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注1843-1848Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1813Frontline support.

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