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goldMessage interpretation:
Wednesday(6month22day)亚市盘初,现货黄金微跌,目前交投于1830附近。美联储巴尔金早间称在正确的时机,不要被美联储最近的指导“束缚”,要灵活,如果我们在通胀正常化的过程中出现经济衰退,那么它将是温和的。美元指数交投于104.3附近。目前投资者正在关注美联储主席鲍威尔周三在美国参议院金融委员会的证词陈述,以寻找关于未来加息的线索和他对经济的最新看法。高盛则预计美国经济在未来一年陷入衰退的可能性为30%,高于之前预测的15%。
黄金最近延续窄幅震荡走势,美国国债收益率上升和激进的加息押注削弱了黄金的吸引力。但美元下跌又为金价提供了一些支持,美元指数下跌0.3%,使以美元计价的黄金对海外买家更具吸引力。美联储决心通过积极加息来对抗通胀,这意味着对经济衰退的担忧将加剧以及长期国债的收益率下降。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金日线周期于震荡顶部1857附近收乌云盖顶形态后,后续录得一根纺锤线,建议高空为主!上方关注1844-1854短线阻力,破位看1874; Follow Below1820-1800短线支撑。4Hour cycle on1857附近构筑圆顶形态后,后市收阴震荡下行,现行情整体受阻于20日均线之下,后市整体看下行。1Hour cycle local to1842附近再次录得圆顶形态,后续收一系列的小实线和纺锤线整体表现为震荡下行,目前整体构筑屏障三角形形态,如图中红色箭头所示:即顶部不断下降,但行情整体站稳于水平支撑1833附近。根据相关理论,屏障三角形突破的方向为水平方向,随着凌晨破位1830一线,那么势必会寻找下方支撑,故短期操作上建议高空为主。综合来看,黄金今日短线操作上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注1843-1848Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1813Frontline support.
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