Guo Shengshan:6.21黄金原油走势分析，尾盘走势分析操作建议

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis

Federal ReserveFOMCpublish6月利率决议，和市场预期一致加息75个基准点，并上调通胀预期。美联储预计未来几个月经济将放缓，失业率上升，美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的预期，如果通胀趋于平缓，美联储可能不需要那么激进地加息。为了让通胀回落，美联储宁愿让失业率上升，并冒着经济衰退的风险，大幅加息，预示沃尔克时代又回来了。近日，多份美国媒体民意调查显示，随着通胀持续上升以及对经济衰退的担忧，美国总统拜登的支持率又创新低。最新民调结果显示，有56%的受调民众对拜登的表现不认可，而认可其表现的民众为39%。美联储试图通过迅速收紧利率来给经济降温，黄金市场陷入了一场拉锯战。

Gold's recent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve has also caused a significant roller coaster shock, and it is the first to explore1825Strong pull up after low position1878Then it rose and fell back to break through1825Starting point to1805Be able to stop the decline. It seems that gold is expected to fall below1800The benchmark continued to decline, but the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike led to a trend of buying expectations and selling facts, and bulls took the opportunity to return1860Near the checkpoint. The recent market rhythm has not been very regular, and the continuity of long and short positions is poor. It is in a period of ups and downs, and then it fell back to the end of the week under pressure1833low point. At present, the daily line is at a low level of volatility, and the Bollinger three tracks are running flat, with no clear direction for bullish and bearish positions. It can only be said to touch1805Welcome to a continuous positive rebound, representing1800There is a large amount of buying support near Daguan, and1850There is also selling pressure above. And what I have been saying recently is that the top of the lunar line has risen and fallen back, and after the inverted hammer line, it has received two consecutive negative points, laying a solid foundation6If there is a bearish trend in the month, then this month's bearish trend will suppress the bullish rebound, which is a trend of rising and falling. The current situation is unclear, so please pay attention to it from above1850Close pressure, follow below1832Nearby support, this position is short-term1805—1813Upward trend line support point, if effectively below1830So the decline will continue further.

　　6.20Golden Strategy:1--1850Near empty, stop loss1855, Objective1842-1836

　　2--1830Nearby, stop loss1824, Objective1837-1842

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Tuesday(6month21day)，国际油价上涨，收复上周部分跌幅，因为投资者关注原油和燃料产品供应紧张，而不是担心经济衰退会抑制未来需求。美国试图与盟国对俄罗斯石油实施价格限制。美国财政部长耶伦周一(6month20day)表示，美国正在与加拿大和其他盟国进行谈判，以通过对俄罗斯石油实行价格上限来进一步限制莫斯科的能源收入。耶伦在与加拿大财政部长一起发表讲话时说：我们认为，价格例外也是防止对低收入和发展中国家的溢出效应的重要方式，这些国家正面临食品和能源成本高涨的困扰。当被问及美国总统拜登是否计划在下周于德国举行的G7领导人峰会上就油价计划寻求共识时，耶伦表示：“我们非常积极，正在与我们的合作伙伴一起在这方面积极努力。美国、加拿大、英国和其他一些国家已经禁止进口俄罗斯石油，但欧盟仍然高度依赖俄罗斯原油。有分析师表示，市场担心俄罗斯产量可能大幅下降，油价受到供应焦虑的支撑。市场上围绕供应担忧和全球增长不确定性之间的拉锯战可能会在持续一段时间。

　　原油技术面解析；原油昨日小幅探低收平，日线收盘一根十字星KLine, lowest inertia downward probing106.80Nearby stable, slightly rebounded after the opening today. Due to the absence of rebound correction yesterday, some rebound correction will be carried out at the beginning of today's trading, in order to supplement and consolidate the previous downward space. Structurally, it is still in a state of retreat, although it has not continued to decline. Pay attention to the strength transition the next day. That is, the crossKThe closing continues after the line.4小时图暂时处于下行台阶当中，昨日惯性摔低之后，短线伴随小幅反弹修正。回撤结构暂时并未改变。亚盘有反弹，结合空间来决定强弱延续，弱势修正空间反弹不会太大，小周期处于下行趋势当中，维持反弹短线择机高空看回撤。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注112.0-113.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below107.0-106.0Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.