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  goldMessage interpretation:

  Kitco新闻发布的每周黄金调查显示,分析师与普通投资人仍看好本周金价的表现,但有更多分析师认为金价将陷入整理。在针对分析师的调查中,有33%认为本周金价将会上涨,20%预期下跌,47%认为盘整持平。在普通投资者的投票当中,有56%认为本周金价将会上涨,24%预期下跌,19%认为盘整持平。

  SIA Wealth Management首席市场策略师席斯基(Colin Cieszynski)表示,金价在美联储升息之后的表现还是令多方相当欣慰的,他认为金价本周或有更好的表现空间,但金价短期可能还是以每盎司1800to1880美元的区间整理为主。

  Equiti Capital市场分析师马登(David Madden)表示,金价短期内可能仍难突破现有区间,主要因为多空力量拉锯的影响。马登指出,美联储的大幅升息虽然不利于金价,但也同样不利于股市甚至是整体经济,这也就为金价提供了一些支撑,因投资人自股市撤出之后,会将资金停泊于保值的资产上面。

  通胀也是支撑金价的一大因素,美国通胀处于40年来的新高,美联储预估今年的通胀将达到5.2%,而美联储委员对今年底利率水平的预估为3.5%,这意味扣除通胀的实质利率水平仍然为负值,仍然是有利于金价的环境。

  ForexLive.com首席货币策略师巴顿(Adam Button)认为,在股市下跌以及经济的担忧下,如果美联储暗示暂缓升息,或是财政政策再度扩张,金价就可能恢复上涨的动力。

Analysis of Gold Technology:

  黄金昨日小阴线震荡收盘,整体空间依旧走得不大,小阴回落之后陷入钝化整理,多空短期量能延续不足,局部进入收敛,从日线结构来看,暂时还处于下行趋势线之下运行,但空间收缩得较小,使得短线强弱延续不定,等待突破。日线技术结构关注布林道上下轨之间的震荡。4The local shrinkage space in the hourly chart is slightly smaller, and the resistance on the upper rail is still1850nearby.The lower rail support is1825nearby.宽幅区间中的再收缩。由于短期单边动能不足,日内短线卡点超短线应对,点位为王,方向其次。白盘的位置偏中性。把时间点放到美盘,在震荡行情中,最好是等待释放一定空间之后,确定日内大概区间,再择机操作更显稳妥,以免反复拉锯,进在中间位置持仓也是难受。综合分析:黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以区间震荡为主,上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.

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