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goldMessage interpretation:
Mehta指出,美元恢复回调走势,黄金多头突破关键的200Daily moving average1843dollar/盎司。本周市场所有的目光都集中在鲍威尔身上。
展望本周交易,美联储主席鲍威尔就美联储半年度货币政策报告发表的两天证词将被热切期待,投资者寻求有关美联储加息路径方面的更多暗示。
香港时间周三21:30,美联储主席鲍威尔将在参议院银行委员会就半年度货币政策报告做证词陈述。香港周四22:00,鲍威尔将在众议院金融服务委员会就半年度货币政策报告做证词陈述。
Local time6month15On the th, the Federal Reserve announced a rate hike75个基点,这是美联储自1994年以来最大加息幅度。美联储主席鲍威尔在会后记者会中表示:“我不认为这种升息幅度会成为常态,下一次会议的加息幅度很可能不是50namely75基点。我们会在每次会议上视具体情况做决定。”
Mehta称,鲍威尔可能维持其鹰派立场,以对抗通胀,这可能令金价本周上行空间受限。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周受美联储利率决定的影响,表现震荡回弹,但又没有实际上涨动能,上方触及1857一线后有所承压回修,周五收得一阴线,依旧处在日线级别均线带之间震荡运行。日线结构上,黄金短线方向不是很明朗的状态,上周受基本面的影响反倒走势更显混乱,来回在日均线带之间反复争夺,导致整体走势结构更倾向于大区间的横盘震荡状态。如果这种横盘震荡延续时间加长,对于黄金整体结构而言反倒是很不利的,有扩大中长线下跌空间的可能性。而如果黄金要回升,基本面目前似乎又没有太过明确的支持,所以这也是困扰黄金走势的关键因素之一,中长线角度来看,黄金也就可能会更偏空一些。
From the golden hour chart, it can be seen that last Friday's gold price fluctuated and corrected, forming a short-term downward correction channel. Currently, the downward trend has only run for two waves, and it is expected that there may be another wave of retreat adjustment within the day. Please pay attention below1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50During the stress test, due to the US market being closed on Monday, trading is expected to be relatively light. It is expected that there will not be much room for gold to fluctuate in the day. It can be roughly seen that the price fluctuates within this range. If the market goes out of this range, it will be analyzed and adjusted based on the actual operating status. On Monday, gold is temporarily trading at a low and high level within the range. It is expected that the trading volume will be much lighter in the event of the US market being closed. Therefore, in practical operations, participation frequency and positions will be moderately reduced to avoid the control risk caused by light trading. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the main approach should be to rebound short selling, supplemented by retracement long selling, with short-term attention from above1852-1857Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.
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