Guide Metallographer:6.20今日黄金走势分析，黄金消息面重点关注

　　goldMessage interpretation:
　　
　　上周下半周，美国国债收益率大幅下跌，令金价获得支撑。在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)决定将政策利率上调75个基点后，基准10年期美国国债收益率攀升至3.4%以上。然而，在记者会上，鲍威尔没有承诺7月份再加息75个基点，导致收益率大幅下降。瑞士央行周四出人意料地加息，以及英国央行加息25个基点，导致市场焦点转向欧洲债券，10年期美国国债收益率延续跌势，上周五接近3.2%。
　　
　　上周三，美元指数达到20多年来的最高水平105.78，但回吐了上周的一大部分涨幅。尽管市场环境厌恶风险，但美元未能走强，因瑞郎和日元成为避险资产。上周四，美元再度走软帮助黄金保持看涨势头。
　　
　　美联储主席鲍威尔这周三将在参议院银行委员会发表半年度货币政策证词。在开场白后，鲍威尔将回答提问。根据芝加哥商品交易所集团(CME Group)的美联储观察工具(FedWatch Tool)，市场目前的预期是7Monthly interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is88.5%。市场定位表明，如果鲍威尔在下次会议上恢复加息50个基点的预期，美国国债收益率还有下降的空间。另一方面，即使鲍威尔确认加息75个基点，美国国债收益率也很难再次出现决定性上涨。
　　
　　这周的PMI报告也可能会对黄金价格产生影响。随着主要央行寻求继续收紧政策，投资者对全球经济衰退的担忧日益加剧。如果欧元区和德国PMI数据显示民间部门增长动能减弱，市场参与者可能会将其视为欧洲央行和美联储之间政策差距扩大的提醒。在这种情况下，黄金可能面临新的下下压力。
　　
Technical analysis of gold:
　　
　　黄金小时图上是震荡上涨的走势，日线上黄金形成双底结构，4小时级别，短期依旧关注10均线，守住它，则保持震荡偏多运行，上周四几次下破10均线，但收盘始终处于上方，也因此最终得到拉升破高；当前上移1839一线，同时，分割支撑以及顶底支撑在1833-35，也具备一定支撑；建议，支撑上逢低做多试探；小时线级别，上周四拉升走强，上周五早盘直接先压制回测，结合通道回踩点和顶底位置，不难看出，1835-33区域是具有较大买盘支撑，黄金也是双底后拉升上涨，上周五虽然是震荡回调的走势，但是站稳在此前的盘整支撑上方，也就是1833上方，还是多头走势，均线也成多头排列，今日继续多，上方的压力1859。

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