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euro : 欧元再探历史高位 △(10month26day)

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Focus:
•1.43步履蹒跚
•25Balance moving average1.4175重要支撑
•欧元升息意向或随欧元强势而减缓

欧元兑美元进一步逼近高位,美国9月耐用品订单意外下降,加强了有关美国经济放缓预示下周将迎来降息的观点。美国9Monthly durable goods orders decline1.7%,因运输订单减少。欧元最高升见至1.4344,而周一之纪录新高则为1.4348。
走势所见,经过两日整固后,欧元于周四重拾上升动力,目前上方之阻力指引明显为纪录高位1.4348,估计再而冲破此区,不难进一步上探1.45关卡。另外,50日保历加通道上轨则见于1.4485; and20日保历加通道上轨则为1.4350水平。另一方面,预计10Balance moving average1.4250为即市较近支撑,下方测试重要测试支持为25Balance moving average1.4185水平;倘若力道足够再下破25天平均线,则欧元前景将转趋黯淡,继而见下一级支撑于另一起始自8月中旬之大型趋向线,支持设于1.4110Horizontal.

Related news:
欧盟经济暨货币事务执委阿尔穆尼亚称,油价和初级商品价格上涨,目前全球信贷紧缩带来的借贷成本攀升,这些因素会在未来两年打压欧盟的经济成长。
德国经济部长格罗斯周四表示,欧洲央行(ECB)的首要任务应是维护欧元稳定,不应向外界压力屈服。另外,他亦表示能源价格快速上涨以及欧元进一步走强,可能对德国经济造成不利影响。
German think tankIfo周四公布10monthIfoThe enterprise prosperity judgment index is103.9, estimated to be103.8。 German think tankIfoanalystKai Carstensen周四称,强势欧元令德国的企业景气承压,不过金融市场动荡应不会造成主要问题。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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