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goldMessage interpretation:
瑞士央行宣布加息50个基点,超出市场预期。英国央行也决定将基准利率上调25One basis point, reaching1.25%。全球各大央行纷纷加息,以应对日益严峻的通货膨胀。受到以上消息的影响,美元指数昨日震荡下行,最低跌至103.42, creating6month10日以来的新低。10年期美债收益率最低跌至3.18附近。黄金美盘直线上涨,最高上攻至1857.5附近。白银震荡上行,最高冲至21.95Near.
美国劳工部公布数据显示,美国截至6month11The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is22.9万人,与前值相同,高于市场预期的21.5万人。美国初请数据与上周一致,表明劳动力市场仍然紧张,失业率依旧徘徊在50年来的低点附近。随着美联储激进的加息政策,越来越多公司或将裁员,或将引发美国经济衰退。美国6月费城联储制造业指数录得-3.3, lower than expected5.5,低于前值。费城联储制造业指数连续三个月出现下降,突显出供应链压力所面临的挑战。
Technical analysis of gold:
From4小时来看,黄金触底反弹,延续上行之势,直到接近1833一线隔夜高点才有所减弱,随后短线修复后继续冲高至1836一线开始回落。加之凌晨美联储纪要以及包威尔讲话的驱使下,黄金回踩后继续踏入反弹道路上运行,最高反弹至1857一线,那么今日我们该如何研判呢!首先我们先看大趋势是多还是空,结合小周期走势,给日内布局提供最有价值的做单思路。那么4小时图中就是今日的思路,认定目前整体行情重新回归宽松震荡之中,震荡依旧没有改变。因高点和低点分割线50位置从新归位,那么事实证明宽松震荡是必然。加之实体K线已经站上1830-1833一线。所以今日选择回踩至台阶支撑位1830-1833一线看涨,反弹次高点1856-1860附近做空为辅的思路来进行操作。综上所述指南金师总结:黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1858-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1833-1815Frontline support.
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