Guide Metallographer:6.17今日黄金走势分析，黑色星期五谨慎出行！

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　一位市场分析师说，尽管美联储打算今年加息至近3.5%，明年可能加息至4%，但黄金市场仍处于健康状态。

　　道富环球投资顾问公司(State Street Global Advisors)首席黄金策略师George Milling-Stanley表示，在美联储决定加息75Basis points(This is28年来最大的加息幅度)后，金价表现良好，对此他并不感到意外。

　　上个月通胀率达到8.6%of40年新高，促使美联储积极收紧货币政策。不过，Milling-Stanley表示，黄金投资者开始认识到，美联储及其领导人鲍威尔的处境岌岌可危。

　　他说：“美联储正在走一条非常狭窄的钢丝，鲍威尔希望遏制一些需求问题，以降低通胀，但他不想把经济推入衰退。”

　　Milling-Stanley补充称，美联储最终做出的任何决定都将对黄金有利。他说：“如果美联储加息的速度不够快，那么通胀将继续上升，如果加息太快，他们将面临经济衰退的风险。这两种情况都对黄金有利。无论如何，黄金投资者都是赢家。”

　　美国经济面临的不断上升的风险也反映在美联储最新的经济预测中。美联储预计，未来两年美国GDPWill grow1.7%，远低于此前分别预测的2.8%and2.2%。

　　尽管美联储激进的货币政策立场将开始推高实际收益率，这对黄金这种无收益资产不利，但Milling-Stanley表示，投资者需要专注于更大的前景。

　　他还说，实际利率不会高到足以让投资者免受波动性上升和经济不确定性影响的程度。他说，研究显示，实际收益率需要达到2%以上，才会给黄金投资者带来问题。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日下探回升收高，回测1815一线启稳，守住前一日低点之上走反弹收复，日线最终收在高位，收回1850上方。日线结构走成双阴下挫后双阳反弹收复，目前已收复近半失地。宽幅拉锯式的震荡行情，短期依旧走不出单边，反复迂回是主格调。日线从布林道下轨启稳反弹收盘在中轨，日内短线先看上轨反弹寻求阻力，上轨也是此前的区间上轨处，近期维持在区间内来回拉锯，周线也是钝化震荡当中，难有实质性突破。4小时伴随着区间迂回，没有明显的强弱延续，结合昨日的下探回升，短线在1820构造低点支撑，大阳线拉起，白盘先看惯性延续，先摸高上轨，再承压回落，日内短线思路先涨后跌，综上所述指南金师总结：黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以低多为主，上方重点关注1863-1868Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1828-1823Frontline support.

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