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　　goldMessage interpretation:

Thursday(6month16day)进入欧市盘中，避险情绪再度卷土重来，股市再度下跌，债市再陷入抛售，美元重新站稳脚跟，因市场担心通胀飙升的影响，以及全球央行积极收紧政策的前景。黄金试图反弹，但强势美元抑制涨幅，金价目前交投在1830附近，等待进一步的线索。

　　周四金价回落，因美元反弹重返20年高点附近，此前美联储大规模但符合市场预期的加息导致美元走低。

　　澳大利亚Tiger Brokers首席战略官Michael McCarthy说，来自潜在避险需求和通胀对冲买盘的支持，与来自加息机制的压力相互矛盾，使金价保持平衡。

　　美国短期利率和债券收益率上升，增加了持有无收益黄金的机会成本。

　　美联储周三批准加息75个基点，为1994年以来的最大加息幅度，以遏制通胀飙升，并暗示经济放缓。此前，美国5Monthly Consumer Price Index(cpi)Year-on-year increase8.6%, for1994年以来最大涨幅。

　　美联储官员还指出，借贷成本将呈现更快上升路径，使货币政策迅速转变与金融市场对如何控制物价压力的看法更加一致。

　　官员们还设想在今年剩余时间内稳步加息，可能包括额外加息75个基点，联邦基金利率年底升至3.4%。这将是自2008year1月以来的最高水平。但这足以引发美国房地产和股市普遍收紧信贷，标志着未来几个月经济放缓和失业率上升。

　　货币政策紧缩伴随着美联储下调经济前景，目前经济增速放缓至低于趋势水平的1.7%，今年年底失业率升至3.7%And in the2024年继续上升到4.1%。

　　利率futures市场反映，美联储在7月的下一次政策会议上加息75The probability of a basis point is approximately85%。然而，对于9月的会议，更大的可能性——超过50%——是加息50Basis points.

　　美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)表示，央行将在7月再次大幅加息，但“今天加息75个基点的幅度非常大，我预计这种幅度的加息并不常见。”

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日先反弹后下跌，反弹在1831.80一线承压后，由于对美联储将以较预期更大幅度加息的预期不断升温。美元强势上扬，令金价承压，黄金回落击穿前一日的低点并收在之下。日线收成一根中阴K线。日线双连阴落收低。同时顶开了下轨。昨日亚盘时段受到布林道下轨支撑先走反弹，尾盘承压回落收低，隔日开盘在低位，日线双阴有延续。目前K线形态走弱。昨日盘中在1827一带做空看破1810低点，今日进一步看延续。4小时此前高位回落吐形成一浪下行，昨日反弹1831.80受阻后继续走二浪下行延续，目前空间上还有进一步释放，从一浪的下行空间来看，目前二浪空间还没展开。只是破低之后的确认延续，空间还有进一步的扩大。预计会到1800之下，留意之前的低点处1786。1小时图反弹修正后再破低走弱，构造小台阶震荡下跌，前一日反弹修正的高点1831.80是今日的空头防守点，短线依托此位做防守继续反弹看空。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1841-1846Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1813-1808Frontline support.

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