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Guide Metallographer: 今日黄金走势分析,黄金考虑低位多高位空逻...

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  隔夜公布了美联储利率决议,结果出乎意外,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标区间从0.75%to1.00%Ascend to1.50%to1.75%。这是沃尔克执掌美联储时1994year11月以来联储最大的单次加息幅度,也是逾27年来联储首度一次加息75个基点。至此,美联储已连续三次会议加息,今年3Month and5Increase interest rates separately on a monthly basis25Basis points and50Basis points.

  之后发布决议声明显示,在利率决策方面,美联储重申寻求实现充分就业和长期通胀达到2%的双重目标,但删除了3Month and5月声明所说的“伴随适宜地收紧货币政策的立场,联储委员会预计,通胀将回到2%的长期通胀目标,且劳动力市场将保持强劲”。言外之意是尽管目前加息,但只要遏制通胀,随时会降息,加息的动作偏鹰,但未来的预期偏鸽,黄金隔夜因鸽派言论,小幅下跌后快速走强,最高触及1841.6Near.

  上周晚些时候,密歇根大学发布的6月初消费者信心调查显示消费者的通胀预期进一步升高。受访者预计未来一年通胀率将达到5.4%, creating1981年以来最高水平,人们对较长期通胀率的预期也出现上升。此次快速加息符合预期,黄金暂时没有超预期影响,依然还是处于震荡区间。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金昨日技术面迎来强势震荡回升收阳,亚欧盘价格依托1807关口不断震荡上行走高,午后一度向上冲高刺破1820一线延续强势震荡,欧美盘价格加速冲高刺破1836关口再度压制震荡回落,晚间美盘后价格过山车再度震荡回落至1820关口横盘震荡,凌晨在美联储加息靴子落地预期下金价快速回落下探至1813关口强势回升,最终冲高刺破1841一线强势收盘,日k线报收探底回升中阳,整体价格借助加息靴子落地出现强势震荡回升修复,不过短周期依旧压制运行于10日均线下方运行,且价格并未突破1842一线前期多空强弱分水岭压制,今日冲高大概率继续伴随回落震荡。

  黄金短线四小时图上仍处于周期性的宽幅拉锯震荡,实质性的区间未有效突破,伴随着来回拉锯的洗盘,技术面结构钝化。消息面因素使得短期拉锯反复,整体结构上还是倾向于向下,只是过程缓慢迂回。短期暂时难走出极限单边,操作上以超短线卡点应对即可。黄金小时图上可以看到,虽然黄金大跌破位此前的盘整,但是昨日的强势反弹又再次拉回到此前的盘整区间内,破位有效性存疑。今日1830It's a watershed, it depends on whether the overnight uptrend can continue. Stay tuned from above1840Nearby pressure, pay attention below1813附近支撑。今日依托此区间继续高空低多循环参与看震荡,中间位置一律多看少动谨慎追单,耐心等待关键位置进场参与,日线级别收盘未突破并站稳1842一线之前依旧看压制震荡循环,根据月线来看还是保持冲高回落的观点,毕竟月线顶部一根冲高回落倒锤子线之后连收两阴,奠定了6月份看空势头。综上所述指南金师总结:黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1842-1847Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.

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