Guide Metallographer:6.16今日黄金走势分析，通胀不回落，加息不止步

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　今日凌晨，美联储6月议息宣布，上调联邦基金目标利率75Base point, raise the benchmark interest rate to1.5%—1.75%。并维持5monthFOMC给出的6-7月减持300USD100mn/月美债和175USD100mn/monthMBS的缩表节奏不变。美联储的这一加息幅度为1994年以来最大的单次加息，表明了美联储希望控制通胀的决心。点阵图显示，2022年美联储加息次数进一步增加，委员会成员一致认为2022年底，并且联邦基金利率将高于3%，大部分委员预计2022年联邦基金利率中值不低于3.375%，对应全年加息13次；只有少数委员预计2022年联邦基金利率中值高于3.625%，对应全年加息14次。由此可见，短期内美联储加息步伐可能很难停下来，这无疑将对黄金形成长期利空影响。

　　鲍威尔在决议后讲话表示，美联储下月可能还会进行一次较大幅度的加息以控制住通胀水平。并重申美联储有决心恢复价格稳定，强调美国经济不会出现衰退。鲍威尔还表示加息75基点不会成为常规操作，后续加息节奏仍然依据经济数据。在5月议息会议前，鲍威尔曾表态加息75基点并未在考虑范围，事实证明鲍威尔的言论和他的行为并不一致。可能是由于此次通胀数据距离议息会议非常近，临时改变原有路径，但这并不完全符合美联储一直看重前者指引强调市场沟通的主张，因此即便是CMEinterest ratefutures基本已经完全计入加息75基点的预期，美联储此次依然加息50基点也说的过去。而此次临时决定加息75基点，显示了美联储控制通胀的决心。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　日线阳吞阴继续回归区间内震荡，不过趋势整体处于向下当中，虽有反抽，但结构上还是处于下行趋势的蓄势。消息方面：美联储6The monthly resolution declared the strongest interest rate hike in nearly thirty years, announcing hawkish interest rate hikes75Then Powell said at his press conference that a large interest rate increase would not calm market sentiment in a normalized way. US stocks and bonds rebounded significantly, the US dollar rose and fell, and gold rebounded.

　　4The hours are still in a periodic wide range of sawing oscillations, and the substantive range has not been effectively broken through, accompanied by a back and forth sawing wash. Technical structural passivation. The news side factor causes short-term tugs of war to recur, and the overall structure still tends to be downward. It's just a slow and winding process. With previous highs and lows being tested to test lows, the short term may also be accompanied by repeated highs and lows to build momentum to break lows. And the price has returned to the vicinity of the Bollinger Road mid track, with a neutral position fluctuating and resistance on the upper track1850-1876The lower rail is1800-1786.宽幅区间内等待突破。短期暂时难走出单边。综上所述，黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，上方重点关注1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1813-1808Frontline support.

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