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10month26日今日重要数据公布:

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14:00 GermanyGfk 11月消费者信心指数,预测6.5, Previous value6.8
15:15 Switzerland9Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)月率,预测+0.3%, Previous value+0.3%
15:15 Switzerland9Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)年率,预测+2.9%, Previous value+2.7%
16:00 eurozone9monthM3货供额变动,预测+11.4%, Previous value+11.6%
16:00 eurozone9月民间贷款额变动,预测+11.0%, Previous value+11.2%
22:00 Reuters/University of Michigan10月消费者信心指数,预测82.0, Previous value83.4

10month25day
港金息率:低息 130 Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:7650.00
London gold afternoon fixing price:767.50
London Silver Set Price:13.725
黄金伦敦收盘价(23:15):766.80 / 767.30
黄金纽约收盘价(02:15):767.90 / 768.70
NYMEX 12月期金:
开市价:770.50 - 收市价:771.50
Maximum: 773.50 - 最低: 769.50
StreetTracks Gold Trust (GLD)
Gold holdings:594.45吨升至597.53ton            

美国公布疲弱经济数据直指经济成长迟滞后,投资人争论美国联邦储备理事会(FED)下周预期中的降息幅度,被投资人视为风险厌恶情绪晴雨表的美股下滑,也压低美元兑日圆。受美国耐用品订单下滑带动。美国商务部公布9Monthly durable goods orders decline1.7%, estimated to increase1.5%,前月上修为减少5.3%, initial value is decrease4.9%;9Increase in durable goods orders deducted from monthly transportation0.3%, estimated to increase0.7%,扣除国防的耐用品订单增加0.7%。另外房屋数据显示,美国9月新屋销售增加、待售房屋库存减少,美国商务部公布美国9月新屋销售较上月增加4.8%At an annual rate of77万户。美元一度小幅反弹,但投资人考虑到前几个月的新屋销售经修正掩盖了整体的潜在疲弱,美元涨势消退。而美国投资业巨擘巴菲特(Warren Buffett)在韩国表示,预期美元将进一步走疲,亦加添美元压力。欧元逼近历史高位,澳元和纽元等高收益货币兑美元亦见上涨,尽管风险厌恶情绪犹存,但投资人关注两国可能升息抑制通膨压力的前景。在上月联储调降联邦基金利率50Bps to4.75%,若下周再度降息将进一步殃及美元计价资产吸引力,从而拖累走势已呈不振的美元。美国利率futures走势已全面反应了联储降息25个基点,降息50个基点的机率约为55%。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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