Guide Metallographer:6.16今日黄金走势分析，今日走势做好随时变动...

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Wednesday(6month15day)，国际金价反弹，远离隔夜创下的5month16Daily low point1804.98dollar/盎司，尽管美联储为对抗通胀可能会进一步加快升息步伐，但若美联储鸽派加息将推动美股反弹，美元需求下降将利好以美元计价的黄金。

　　美联储将在北京时间周四(6month16day)2:00公布新政，市场预计加息75个基点。该预期已经引发全球市场剧烈动荡，金价在过去两个交易日跌逾3%。

　　市场目前预计，未来三次美联储会议将累计加息175个基点，这意味着在9月会议前每次会议至少加息50个基点。此外，投资者现在预计央行官员将在明年春季前将利率提高到近4%，高于上个月预计的3%左右峰值水平。

　　咨询公司AirGuideSupervisorMichael Langford表示：“我们认为，金价有可能在(美联储公布新政)之前反弹，然后持稳并在接下来的一周内重新下跌。在我们看来，金价在接下来的几周内将保持整体下跌趋势，或跌破1800dollar/盎司。”

　　美国短期利率和债券收益率的上升增加了持有非孳息黄金的机会成本，但惊魂未定的投资者希望见证美联储如何激进升息，许多人担心采取激烈行动可能会使世界陷入衰退。

　　60分钟图形上看，金价下跌失去动能，推动价格反弹至1820美元，相对强弱指标(RSI)呈现背离，没有跟随价格下跌。金价强势突破40小时移动均线，增强上行动力。

　　FXStreetanalystDhwani Mehta指出，若美联储鸽派加息，则金价将强势反弹。“金价走势依然取决于美联储利率决议结果，加息75个基点可能会引发美元‘卖事实’反应，将支撑金价。 若加息50个基点，则将视为鸽派意外，推动美股反弹，美元需求下降将导致风险偏好回升，并利好以美元计价的黄金。”

Technical analysis of gold:

Gold opened yesterday at1808.56美元，开盘后出现了先涨后跌走势，最高触及1836.8一线遇阻，黄金日线连阴下跌，连续两波大阴线，全部收线上影线，然后大阴线实体全面覆盖上影线，这种是空头强势的体现，同时50均线直接拐头向下，k线直接跳水下跌，金价再次触及前期支撑低点1780附近，关注该水平破位与否。四小时级别显示，黄金空头趋势明显，持续大阴线下行，连续破位，连续击穿一个个支撑位，昨日黄金先涨后跌走势，最高触及1836水平遇阻回撤，再次下破1804将考验1780一线。综上所述指南金师总结：黄金昨日低开高走，在触及1836一线遇阻下跌，后市看好空头延续，综上所述：操作上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1836-1845USD resistance, follow below1804-1895USD support.


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