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Guide Metallographer:6.15今日黄金走势分析,空头恐会再次试探1700

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  6month15日周三亚市盘中,国际黄金走势震荡上涨,金价早间开盘价格1807美元,开盘后逐渐走高,最高涨至1836USD, currently trading in1823美元附近,基本收复前一个交易日全部跌幅。

  周一黄金价格大跌,跌势在周二得到延续,日内黄金反弹,不过反弹幅度有限,黄力晨认为,虽然金价承压,在1800美元关口附近,获得避险买盘以及逢低买盘的支撑,但是上周美国通胀数据公布后,特别是上周末作为美联储喉舌的华尔街日报,发表标题为《美联储本周可能考虑加息75个基点》的文章,市场对本周美联储加息75个基点的预期开始达成普遍共识,这对黄金价格构成较大压力,展望后市,晚间美联储如果加息75个基点,且为7Further interest rate hikes in the month75个基点做铺垫,黄金短线波动有跌破1800美元的风险。

  消息方面,美联储加息是本周市场的焦点。上周美国通胀意外升高,继续刷新最近40年新高,美联储正好处于会议之前的噤声期,作为美联储的喉舌,华尔街日报报道文章暗示美联储本周可能加息75个基点,市场大幅提高了对美联储在本周加息75个基点的押注,美国利率市场预计美联储周三加息75个基点的概率高达96%,美元飙升刷新近20年新高,美国10年期国债收益率创近11年新高,这打压金价下跌。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金空头趋势明显,持续大阴线下行,阴线实体也是击碎支撑位,连续破位,连续击穿一个个支撑位,黄金短期见顶隔夜黄金再次出现一泻千里的节奏,从1830附近继续下行到1804附近。四小时图基本上没有出现大阳线,全部收线上影线,然后大阴线实体全面覆盖上影线,这种是空头强势的体现,同时50均线丝毫没有犹豫,直接断崖式下行, k线直接跳水下沉。 小时级别,黄金的下跌回合缩小,说明多头还未完全放弃抵抗,近阶段要留意1800美元整数关口的支撑力度,若加息落地之前金价还是撑持在1800之上,须慎防靴子落地后的卖预期买实现现象的产生而导致黄金震荡反弹行情再现。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1831-1836Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1808-1803Frontline support.

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