Guo Shengshan:6.14晚间黄金最新走势分析，原油策略建议

goldMarket trend analysis;

　　6month14日亚市盘初，现货黄金探底回升，早些时候一度延续隔夜跌势并创5month20Recently, it has reached a new low1809.16附近，主要是因为市场对美联储本周加息75Basis points and100个基点的预期升温，美元持续走高并刷新近二十年高位，对金价形成打压。但短线金价跌幅过大，也存在一些调整需求。分析师指出，在对全球经济放缓的担忧和对美联储大幅加息押注的支持下，美元指数触及数十年高位，成为首选避险工具，黄金因此成为牺牲品。本交易日重点关注美国5Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)的表现，因为PPI数据是CPI数据的领先指标，通胀可以作为未来通胀水平的参考依据之一，当生产者对产品和服务收费较高时，较高的成本通胀会传导给消费者，在当前关口，该数据的市场关注度比较高。目前市场预计可能会为美联储激进加息“添砖加瓦”，整体来看，本周将迎美联储利率决议，市场预计大概率至少加息50个基点并释放进一步激进加息的信号，而且加息75Basis points and100个基点的预期在不断升温，美元和美债收益率持续走高，利率决议前，金价仍有震荡下探的风险。不过，美国股市进入技术面熊市，俄乌战火持续，仍许留意避险买盘和逢低买盘的支撑情况。

Yesterday's bearish candlestick for gold fell and closed lower, taking back all the upward momentum from last Friday and setting a new low1808.90dollar|ounce. The roller coaster style of large amplitude sawing intensifies the frequency of short-term dish washing, with weak unilateral continuity and repeated twists and turns. As the daily trend declines, the short-term trend returns to operating within the weak range. The daily line falls directly from the upper track of Bollinger Road to the lower track, with Yin swallowing YangKLine structure, however, the Asian market still has some support at the lower track. Pay attention to whether the European market can weaken again after the rebound correction of the Asian market.4The hour chart has broken through the lower track under pressure from the upper track of the recent oscillation range. Yesterday, it was also emphasized that the European market will not break through at the upper track. In the short term, it is important to guard against a roller coaster style decline, while the weak turn in the European market has continued downward until the US market, laying the foundation for yesterday's weakness,4The hour's continuous Yin style retreat,K线形态偏下跌，均线指标依旧凌乱发散，在利率决议前。预计短线还是震荡为主，震荡为前，趋势为后，点位比方向关键。考虑到日线下轨的支撑，白盘不急于追空，待美盘反弹修正后再择机操作。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1808-1803Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油昨日下探回升收平小阳十字K线，日线处于高位横向整理当中，看多强势不足，看回落，则空间下行不足，而日K线的实体收盘略小，虽有回落，但收不在低位，使得日线依旧处于高位偏强整理，昨日伴随下探回升的修正之后，局部仍有摸高的可能。伴随边整理蓄势边摸高手可能。消息方面：全球供应紧张盖过了对需求将承压的担忧。亚洲新冠疫情再起和更多加息让市场担心需求将受抑。

　　4小时回测整理修正再拉回高位，目前布林道开始收口，由于回调空间相对有限，暂时的整理收口也只能当作多头中的整理蓄势修正。后市恐怕还有进一步冲高。不过也要结合形态的转换，由形态的强弱转换来决定趋势的多空转换，小周期显示短线多空切换频繁，不宜过分看多空，要结合形态灵活调整。随着昨日的下探回升，昨日的低点117.50是个关键位置，强势整理，此位将成为多头的防守进一步构造台阶上扬，反之下破收低，则走转换回落。目前形态由于处于向上通道，短线依托117.50先行看多，跌破再调整思路。

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.