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goldMarket trend analysis:
Friday(6month10day)美盘中,美国公布5monthCPI数据,再创逾40年新高,很难动摇美联储激进鹰派姿态。截至发稿,现货黄金跳水8.45USD to1824.93dollar/盎司。后又因为机构砸盘黄金快速反弹,目前交投于1872美元盎司附近,具体数据显示,美国5monthCPIAnnual rate recorded8.6%, creating1981year12月以来新高,高于预期值和前值0.3个百分点;美国5Monthly CoreCPIAnnual rate recorded6%,尽管低于前值6.20%,但高于预期值0.1个百分点。消费需求复苏,但全球供应链正常化步履蹒跚,导致价格飙升,通胀远高于美联储设定的2%目标。美联储因此迅速采取行动,3月以来将联邦基金目标利率提高了75个基点。在5monthCPI数据公布后,市场参与者将把注意力转向下周的美联储政策会议。预计在本月和7月会议上,美联储将延续5月政策节奏——继续各加息50个基点。但一些经济学家担心,美联储突然收紧货币政策可能会使经济陷入衰退。而近期涵盖劳动力、制造业和房地产市场的更广泛数据暗示,火热的经济前景正在自行降温,使得美联储在7月后有可能软化鹰派姿态。美联储已承诺,将密切关注未来公布的经济数据。
黄金多头旱地拔葱,跌破1828支撑后快速反弹,随后连破上方两道压力1860-1870.现在黄金已经转为多头,下周继续看涨黄金至1885.现在这个世界好乱,美元涨,黄金涨,就是这个节奏。虽然具体不清楚黄金涨的原因,但是从K线上已经分析出来了,黄金要涨。先定一个小目标,1885已成为必达值。黄金彻底完洗盘,洗去浮筹,开启了上涨,综合来看,黄金操作思路上鼎盛金师建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注1875-1877Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1855-1850Frontline support
参考思路一: First step back next Monday1858-1856Long on the front line, stop loss1852, Objective1864-1872-1880Nearby;
参考思路二: Strong step back1847-1846Long on the front line, stop loss1841, Objective1854-1862-1871Nearby;
参考思路三: 下周一首次反弹1877-1879Short on the front line, stop loss1883, Objective1871-1862Nearby;
crude oilLatest market analysis:
原油技术面分析:油价进入十元时代悬念不大,而原油上涨带来的通胀才是最难平的,价格一旦形成共识,短时间即便是有海量库存流入市场,也很难填平资本的欲望,所以不要期待原油在当下回撤,在没有完全的打爆和打慌空头之前,就是慢涨,涨到你*的时候暴涨,踢爆空头,形成多头的恐慌,才能遏制价格的上升。
The current situation of crude oil4Hour, Little YinKLine back stepping correction, YinKThe line entity is small and can only be considered as a correction for the time being, rather than a reversal weakening. The current space is a normal stepping area, andKThe physical size of the line is small, and it can be quickly retracted. The low point of the lower step supports it117.20.此位不失守,短线还是震荡偏多,而均线指标也形成支撑向上。今日预计是延续昨日的横向整理修正,留意美盘能否走强再收高,来决定短线强势延续的关键。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注121.7-122.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below118.0-117.5Frontline support.
Wen/Ding Sheng Jin Shi, Contributor, Interpreting World Economic Highlights by Myself,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!
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