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指南金师:今日黄金走势分析,黄金横盘整理静待通胀数据

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  goldMessage interpretation:

Friday(6month10day)亚洲时段,现货黄金窄幅震荡于1845美元附近,隔夜欧洲央行宣布将结束一项长期刺激计划,并表示将在7Monthly progress2011年以来的首次加息,前美联储副主席称美联储需要在接下来三或四次会议上每次加息50个基点,美国上周初请失业金人数显示劳动力市场仍非常吃紧,调查显示美联储连四次加息50基点的机率上升,市场担忧持有黄金的机会成本增加,令金价承压,而且美元大涨至近三周高位,美债收益率上涨,也令金价承压。不过,地缘局势依然紧张,美国股市大跌,仍提供一些避险支撑,令金价跌幅受限。

  本交易日市场目标将聚焦美国5monthCPI数据的表现,高于预期的通胀数据可能会增加人们对美联储将比先前预期的更积极加息的担忧。此外需要留意俄乌地缘局势和新冠疫情的相关消息。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金昨日震荡回落收低,维持在前一日高点1859之下承压整理,美元强势走高,打压金价回吐,重新回到1850下方震荡,最低至1839.本周的区间整体偏小,窄幅横向整理当中。随着日线的收低,短线相对偏弱一些,但持续性仍是一个问题。多空强弱延续不定。消息方面:市场担忧晚间将出炉的美国CPI数据将加强美联储激进加息的可能性,美债收益率持续上涨并坚守在3%上方,增加持有黄金的机会成本。

  4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间震荡,此前在上轨处承压昨日回落至下轨,刷新了本周的低点,但延续性仍不足,目前布林道仍是收口当中,不过美元持走强,一定程度仍压制了金价的反弹空间,短线相对偏弱一些,日内短线操作依托1860做防守先行短空,布林道上轨处是阻力,下方空间边走边看,结合形态来定空间。1小时图稍钝化。均线指标凌乱发散,不过昨日收低之后,短线偏弱,在周中高点1860之下先行看回落,阻力在1850-1853间择机短空。

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