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  gold消息面: 

  6month9日周四亚市盘中,国际黄金走势横盘震荡,金价早间开盘价格1852The US dollar has risen to a maximum of1855USD, lowest drop to1848USD, currently trading in1850美元附近,日内波动较小。

  本周黄金连续第三周,围绕1850美元震荡运行,且波动区间呈现收窄趋势,一方面,美联储激进加息预期,推动美元与美债收益率震荡走高,对金价构成一定压力,另一方面,在通胀高企的背景下,对经济增长的担忧以及俄乌局势持续紧张,对金价形成避险支撑。

  展望后市,黄力晨认为,美联储6月加息日期临近,加息预期可能导致金价从区间震荡向震荡承压转变,但预计跌幅有限,此外,需要重点关注本周五的美国通胀数据,可能为美联储加息提供更多指引,在此之前,金价短线波动维持震荡的可能性较大。

  消息方面,国际货币基金组织第一副总裁周三表示,美国的通胀率可能长期保持在美联储目标之上,高通胀会加大美联储激进加息的预期,但同时也会提高对抗通胀的黄金的吸引力。俄乌局势依旧紧张,全球能源、粮食价格上涨,对地缘局势的担忧,为金价提供避险支撑。

Gold trend analysis:

  黄金从日线上来看,黄金昨日下探回升,日线收成阳线十字星,双阴再转阳后,金价几乎收复了前期阴KThe downward space of the line forms a repeated tug of war,K线形态则是阴阳互换当中。暂时没有明显的单边,也或许是单边力度不足,进入拉锯震荡周期。四小时级别上看,黄金探底回升,下方回撤至1845附近止跌反弹,上方又在1860一线有争夺,目前短线结构重心还是略有抬升的,今日下方1845/44附近依旧可能会是关键支撑,上方则关注1857-60短压带测试,如果今日美指延续回调,则黄金上方还有进一步回弹可能,上方压力重点在1863一带测试,突破后将再次挑战0.382黄金分割位也就是1870附近。综上总结:黄金整体运行在区间徘徊,因为前期冲高遇阻,金价一直处于偏空运行中,多头虽有反弹但是力道不够,所以黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1855-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support.

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