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　　gold消息面：　

Wednesday(6month8day)，国际金价小幅走低，因美元和美债收益率上涨限制了黄金需求。投资者等待即将公布的美国通胀数据，以进一步研判美联储加息前景。但滞涨风险应该会继续鼓励许多投资者配置黄金。过去几周，黄金一直在横盘震荡。我认为，原因是人们可能对某些通胀数据持乐观看法……通胀或正在接近峰值……如果通胀趋于平稳，那就不利于黄金上涨。”美国财政部长耶伦周二(6month7day)对参议员表示，美国当前通胀水平“不可接受”，她预计通胀将保持在高位，拜登政府可能会在其预算提案中上调今年的通胀预测。尽管她非常希望物价上涨很快就能开始消退。

　　黄金涨幅在很大程度上受到全球央行收紧货币政策带来的限制。投资者现在等待即将在周五(6month10day)公布的核心消费者价格指数(CPI)。市场预计，美国5月整体与核心CPI料分别同比上涨8.3%and5.9%，美联储激进加息前景很难动摇。随着借贷成本上升，高度依赖信用卡的美国消费者可能面临挑战。富国银行经济学家说：“虽然信贷可以帮助支撑现在的支出，但代价可能是牺牲未来家庭财务健康。”美国今年可能不会陷入衰退。然而，2023年经济衰退似乎不可避免。“要么是外源性供应冲击将降低商业活动，要么是美联储对持续高通胀的反应将起到作用。 衰退的时间将取决于它是由外生因素还是内生因素引起的。鉴于目前就业、消费和投资强劲，我们认为内生增长将是决定性的。这意味着更有可能是2023年的衰退，而不是2022年衰退。”随着美国经济放缓和通胀居高不下，滞胀的风险正在增加，而其他系统性风险也比比皆是。这应会继续鼓励许多投资者配置黄金，尤其是在金价修正并鼓励逢低买进的情况下。”

The World Bank will announce on Tuesday2022Expected global economic growth for the year1Of the month4.1%Down to2.9%。行长马尔帕斯(David Malpass)表示，滞胀风险和俄乌战争一直在打击经济增长，对许多国家来说，经济衰退将难以避免。与此同时，尽管全球通胀预计明年将有所缓和，但许多经济体的通胀可能仍将高于目标水平。技术面上看，上行方面，金价首个上行目标是1850dollar/盎司的心理障碍，突破该水准，金价可能会挑战周一高点1858dollar/盎司。一旦金价攻克1858dollar/盎司，那么多头将寻找新的机会，并推动金价发起新的升势，迈向上周高点1870dollar/盎司。假如21日移动均线下破200日移动均线，那么看空交叉将再次出现，这将迎来金价的新一轮跌势。如果看跌压力加剧，金价仍然很有可能测试上周低点1829dollar/盎司。再往下走，1820-1800dollar/盎司关口将再次经受考验，看看能否成为多头的生命线。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金从日线上来看，黄金昨日下探回升，守住前一日低点1836The upper bound rebounds and recovers, with the daily line closing at the mid yang line and the double yin then turning positive. Almost regained the previous day's shadeKThe downward space of the line forms a repeated tug of war,KThe form of the line is in the exchange of yin and yang. At present, there is no obvious unilateral trend, or perhaps the unilateral strength is insufficient, entering a seesaw oscillation cycle. The uncertain weather of the US dollar also makes the short-term direction of gold look like a flower in the mist. Shaking and sawing are the main style. Gold from4Looking at the hour line,4The hour chart was previously displayed in the1858After being under pressure, the second wave downward trend continued, but the sustained strength was insufficient, with short-term twists and turns. Basically, a second wave shape would end in a small band, and at the same time, after releasing the second wave, it would pull back into the oscillation range. Yesterday, it did not go out of the oscillation range, and the moving average index scattered disorderly, and it will continue to oscillate in the short term. Bulling Road has started to close, with the strength of the long and short positions continuing to be uncertain. It is still a volatile and ultra short-term approach for the day, and the main force of gold is currently trading1850Area, intraday time correction position at1858-1860Location, which will have some suppression during the day. The lower entry area below is1841-1843Among them, this position is the gathering day low of gold low level horizontal consolidation, which will have effective support. If gold rises and stabilizes1856可看到走出明显的加速大涨，综合来看，今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议回调做多为主，上方关注1860-1965Resistance, pay attention below1810-1835Support,

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