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gold消息面解读:
周二亚市早盘,国际金价徘徊于1840dollar/Above ounces. Last Friday, the gold price started from1873dollar/The high point of the ounce once fell back to exceed20US dollars, announced on Friday night in the United States5Monthly non farm employment data shows new employment39.0Ten thousand people, far exceeding expectations32.5Ten thousand people, gold prices showed a downward trend after the data was released, as strong employment data strengthened the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. Although the Beige Book on the US Economic Situation released last Wednesday showed signs of relaxation in labor supply and demand, the number of job vacancies in the US remains significantly high, with layoffs reaching a historic low. The huge gap between job vacancies and recruitment, as well as the huge gap between job vacancies and unemployed workers, reflects the tense labor market. Friday's non farm data just proves this point,5Further recording of monthly average hourly and annual rates5.2%The growth of labor force is expected to further increase before the supply and demand of labor force improves.
Although household savings in the United States have been continuously depleted since the beginning of this year, leading to a possible slowdown in future consumer spending, coupled with rising borrowing costs and inflationary risks, raising concerns about the US economic recession, Federal Reserve officials still advocate for every rate hike50Until it is confirmed that inflation has significantly declined, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Brainard stated that even if price pressures begin to weaken, there is still a possibility for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates and bring inflation down to the level set by the Federal Reserve2%Goal, there is still a lot of work to be done. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve has formed a certain degree of suppression on gold prices, and this week we will continue to focus on the further suppression of gold prices caused by hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金昨日先震荡回弹,测压至1856/57一线后承压回修,不过回修空间不是很大,下方至1850附近后止跌回弹,晚盘前行情再出现一波拉升,测压至1858附近,但很快又再度回落。从日内黄金的走势节奏来看,日线周期于阻力位1870附近再次录得乌云盖顶形态,局部构筑双顶形态,但行情整体站稳于日线周期中轨之上,故日线级别的多空转折点在1870and1840:破位1870可顺势看涨至1890附近,若下破1840可反弹1848附近看大空至1810nearby
4小时周期局部酝酿大阴线且构筑下降三法形态,后市整体看下行;1Hour cycle local to1858附近录得再次录得圆顶形态看下行,后续收阴下行破位前低1843,午夜大概率仍将延续跌势;1小时周期整体构筑头肩顶形态,且右肩1856目前为虚破,形态已成,后市看下行。今日亚欧盘反弹修正结束,接下来我们就高空看跌。综合来看,今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主,上方关注1855-1860Resistance, pay attention below1828-1830Support,
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