Wave amplitude analysis method

　　波幅也是我们判断行情运行节奏的主要因素之一，然而这项指标却是很多投资者最为陌生的一项。为此，我们特别提供波幅分析方法和波幅分析参考表给投资者作为参考。

　　经过历史统计，我们发现欧元/dollar10The average daily wave amplitude over the years has remained relatively stable100Click around and then perform normal statistical analysis on the sample, and it is found that2/3The single day wave amplitude of is concentrated at70-130Within the range of points. This indicates that our main expected difference between the high and low points during the day is within this range when conducting intraday operations.

　　而市场在运行过程中还会出现这个范围之外的小波幅和大波幅，根据对历史数据的统计，我们将单日60The amplitude within a point is defined as the minimum amplitude day, and a single day is defined as the minimum amplitude day160The above amplitude is defined as the maximum amplitude day.
　　我们这里做的波幅分析主要是对极小波幅日出现后进行分析，规律：当市场连续出现极小波幅日时，接下来极容易出现极大波幅日。

At this point, further judgment should be made based on the morphology:
　　1If it appears continuously3A daily or longer period of extremely small volatility with a range fluctuation pattern indicates that the market is facing a breakthrough. Once the key resistance level of range oscillation is broken, it is likely to erupt into continuous unilateral extremely large volatility days.
　　2If it appears continuously3A day or longer with extremely small wave amplitudes should run in the same direction. At this time, it is necessary to distinguish whether it appears at the beginning or end of the trend, or whether the trend in that period is a secondary trend or a main trend.

　　大部分情况下，
　　当出现在趋势的起始阶段时，引发的极大波幅日方向更大可能性是顺势；
　　当出现在趋势的末端时，引发的极大波幅日方向更大可能性是逆势；
　　当出现在次要趋势时，引发的极大波幅日方向则更大可能性是顺应主要趋势方向的。

　　提醒：为了提高对方向把握的准确性，投资者还可进一步根据具体的运行形态进行辨别，比如是否是中继形态，是否是反转形态等。

　　当然，上述内容只是波幅分析方法的冰山一脚，但却是极有实战价值的一部分，全面的波幅分析方法我将在以后逐渐与大家交流，此分析方法也将出现在foreign exchange之星的系列培训教材中。  本贴转自：火线外汇论坛

谢谢楼主，沙发 [s:9]