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　　gold消息面：　　

Monday(6month6day)进入欧市盘中，市场风险情绪改善，欧美股市上扬，美元承压下挫，现货黄金维持微弱升势，目前交投在1850美元上方。本周来看，市场重点关注美国CPI通胀数据，同时欧洲央行及澳洲联储将召开利率会议。

　　金价周一小幅走高，受美元和美债收益率小幅回落支撑，不过黄金前景仍容易受到主要央行大幅升息的影响。

　　欧市盘中，现货黄金上涨0.1%To per ounce1,852Near the US dollar, with intraday fluctuations not exceeding10USD.

　　金价仍低于上周的近一个月高点，上周五下跌约1%，此前有数据显示，美国5月份非农就业人数超过预期。

　　美联储预计将在6Month and7月的政策会议上加息0.5个基点，上周五的就业报告更是强化了加息的可能性。

　　道明证券分析师表示：“5月份的报告支持这样一种观点，即尽管劳动力市场依然坚挺，但它继续逐渐放缓。我们认为该报告不会改变美联储政策路径，并继续支持他们大力加息，直到秋季利率达到更为中性。”但数据越好，美联储在今年晚些时候暂停或放缓紧缩步伐就越困难。

　　在最近的美国就业报告发布之后，市场参与者将继续对央行政策前景的任何暗示高度敏感，澳大利亚央行和欧洲央行利率决议，以及关键的美国CPI数据本周将提供指导，”IG的市场策略师Yeap Jun RongSay.

　　本周五公布的美国消费者价格指数(CPI)数据将是美联储进一步收紧政策信号的下一个焦点。市场估计，5monthCPI按年升8.3%, and4月相同，核心CPI按年升5.9%, consecutive times3个月回落。

　　多名美联储官员上周先后表示，9月不大可能暂停加息，只是加息0.25%or0.5%的选择。

　　克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特此前表示，她支持在6Month and7月继续各加息50Basis points,9月会议上也不排除延续这一政策，但将取决于数据。她说，如果看到通胀令人信服的下降，那么9Monthly interest rate hike25个基点将是合适的。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金近期依托1786低位开始反弹回升，之前冲高1870受阻跌破1840关键分水岭刷至1828低点，多次测试迎来了强势单边拉升。临近非农黄金突破1870前高至1874位置受阻，随后美国公布的5月非农数据高于预期32.8万人，从而利空打压黄金，虽然期间出现了一段下探回升的小插曲，但最终黄金还是反弹1865位置继续回落，并且跌破1860关键支撑开始加速下行走低，日内跌回1850大关收尾。现在黄金来了个冲高回落走势，可惜离预期1878高位还差一点，和预期点位稍有偏差，不过其走势和预期还是完全吻合，再次跌回1870—1864下行趋势线之下，代表1870高位压力极重，毕竟月线顶部一根冲高回落倒锤子线之后连收两阴，由此奠定了6月份看空势头，那么依照当前的走势很有可能就是个冲高回落收尾。日线也是连阳反弹遭遇大阴回落，布林三轨呈现缩口运行，代表短期上行空间有限，空头还有望继续走低去测试1840附近支撑。那么现在下方重点关注1840Support, attention from above1860附近压力，操作上以空为主。

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