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gold最新消息面解读:
Monday(6month6day),现货黄金基本持稳,美元指数收窄跌幅,限制了金价反弹。一些投资认为,货币紧缩周期料继续给美元提供支撑。在最新数据显示劳动力市场吃紧后,本周末即将公布的美国消费者价格数据可能会影响市场对美联储收紧政策步伐的预期。
美元指数在5月中旬触及近20New Year High105.01后,投资者对美元继续上涨看法趋于谨慎。但一些人认为,货币紧缩周期可能继续为美元提供进一步支撑。自3月以来,美联储已将其政策利率提高了75Basis points.
美国雇主在5月份雇用工人数量超过预期,并保持了相当强劲的工资增长步伐。这是劳动力市场强劲的迹象,将迫使美联储继续采取积极的货币政策收紧政策来冷却需求。预计在本月和7月的会议上,美联储将延续5月会议政策——继续各升息50Basis points.
纽约FWDBONDSchief economist Christopher Rupkey表示:“随着经济继续以如此快的速度增加雇工,经济还远没有到陷入衰退的边缘,经济放缓还不足以扑灭通胀之火。美联储的工作还没有完成。”
Gold trend analysis:
上周非农黄金先涨后跌,特别是上涨延续变盘,上周五非农下跌延续变盘,形成震荡区间,整体没有走出1874,1830The overall environment, therefore, in the near future, gold has been6Before the news of monthly interest rate hikes, it is difficult to make significant progress. It is expected that the trend of gold this week will still fluctuate within a certain range. The trend of gold is relatively clear, with each cycle showing a closing performance and not showing significant fluctuations. Trading should focus on small cycle changes. Currently, the technical performance that can be seen is still volatile. Last week, gold formed a top decline after a consecutive positive day, with daily closing. There is no continuity between long and short during the Yin Yang transition. Therefore, This week's daily chart does not emphasize the single day's ups and downs. If the daily chart continues to be positive, the duration of the rise will be seen, while if the daily chart continues to be negative, the duration of the decline will be seen, maintaining an upper and lower range.
Gold currently4Houbulin also showed a closing performance, with prices temporarily near the Bullin mid track, with equal upward and downward space, and no absolute strength trend. However, in last Friday's decline,kThe line moves under the pressure of the moving average, resulting in a weak shock. Therefore, on the whole, the Golden Week was short at the beginning. From the perspective of shock decline, it is expected that this week will be the trend of first falling and then rising, and the rising space will be seen after the short runs. The interval is no longer emphasized, wait for the cycle to change before making new judgments. In the early morning trading of small cycles, gold will have a slight rebound in volatility, and will be suppressed within the day1858Nearby, waiting for a rebound and short selling, European and American markets continue to decline with visible strength1840,1838At the beginning of the week, it is difficult to break out of the sharp decline, but be careful if the European market stabilizes1858On top of that, then it was slightly stronger at the beginning of the week, so pay attention to Monday's1858Gains and losses of strengths and weaknesses. Expected to cycle down to1830Let's take a look at the transition between strength and weakness. Overall, the guidelines for today's gold operations suggest that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by going long by stepping back, with short-term attention from above1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1843-1838Frontline support.
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