Guo Shengshan:6.6今日黄金行情涨跌行情分析，原油布局策略

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Monday（6month6日）亚欧时段，现货黄金震荡微涨，目前交投于1854.13dollar/盎司附近，俄乌战火持续，给金价提供了一些支撑，但上周五美国非农就业报告表现强劲，强化了美联储继续激进加息的预期，美联储官员的讲话普遍偏向鹰派，令黄金多头有所顾忌，值得注意的是，在美国非农就业人数(NFP)出乎市场意料之后，上周五黄金价格下跌1.0%左右。克利夫兰联储主席洛雷塔·梅斯特的鹰派言论，也对金价构成下行压力。也就是说，5月份美国非农就业人数为390KHigher than expected325K，但低于上修后的428K。此外，失业率维持在3.6%不变，而预期略有下降至3.5%. In addition,5Month USAISM服务业采购经理人指数跌至55.9, and4月份市场共识为56.4and57.1。另方面据路透社报道，美联储的梅斯特表示：美联储面临的一个问题是通胀。消息指出，政策制定者还补充说，经济衰退的风险已经上升。梅斯特还提到，她支持在6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点，但在9月的会议上不排除这种可能性，但这将取决于数据。她说，如果她看到令人信服的通胀下降证据，那9Monthly interest rate hike25个基点将是合适的。在这些交易中，华尔街基准收盘下跌，而美国10年期国债收益率在三周内首次出现每周上涨。接下来，欧洲央行(ECB)货币政策会议与美国消费者物价指数(CPI)，是本周的关键数据/事件，因为有传言称央行行长正在积极抑制物价压力，这反过来可能打压金价。

　　黄金技术面分析；目前黄金表现和上周三的ADP类似，数据前上升，数据后先跌后涨，而不同在于ADP后的强阳，日线大阴线。这也算是拖垮了前面日线的反弹，价格两次测试100日均线，但还是压制回撤，形成典型的轴运动。而从周线来说，1870的位置，本来就是前期开跌口，重合在100日均线关键位置，是一道坎，而周线收盘十字，且十字K较大，加上前面连阳反抽，这种十字，并不是看跌十字，而更多像上升中停，后面继续是看多格局。但关键在于十字K顶底，由于这个十字K吞噬了前面的小阳，后面的顶底就很关键，也是周线方面的分水岭。由于周五下跌无反抽，日线大阴，早间反弹，肯定就要在欧盘看延续，即便今日无延续，行情也是震荡，不会走强。因此，意味着今日做多起码不会在日内出现。而相对于操作方面，重点还是看早间是否反弹，一旦反弹，后面空即可。综上总结：今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以区间震荡为主，上方短期关注1863-1868Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1843-1838美一线支撑。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Technical analysis of crude oil; Crude oil further increased its high volume last Friday and closed at a high level. The closing work of the weekly line, the weekly line has closed with a bullish line and still stabilizes above the moving average. The weekly and daily lines have temporarily maintained a bullish upward channel. The daily line follows repeated steps back10The daily line has stabilized, and the short-term line has experienced a strong wave of unilateral high reaching and is still in the process of extension.4The hourly roller coaster style recovery has previously retreated to lost ground, while reaching a high level last week. This week's opening will continue with a strong trend. It is also a continuation of the high second wave. Running in the ascending channel of the hourly chart step, with the second lowest point at115.20.也是短线多头防守临界点。此位之上回踩先行短多，综上总结：今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注121-122Frontline resistance, short-term focus below116-117Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.