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goldMarket trend analysis;
Tuesday(5month31day)进入欧市盘中,股市下跌,美国国债全线抛售,美元反弹走高,黄金承压走低失守1850关口,正迈向连续第2个月下跌。因美国国债收益率走强,美元走强,金价自2021year3月以来首次连续第二个月下跌。美国10年期公债收益率走高降低了零收益黄金的吸引力,而美元走强则令以美元计价的黄金对海外买家来说更加昂贵。现货金日内小幅下跌,一度触及1845美元,日内波动不超过10美元。不过当月迄今已下跌2.4%Last year9月以来最大跌幅。5月份黄金的表现总体上令人失望,美元一出现走强的迹象,黄金就立即走软,而美元疲软或美国债券收益率下降,黄金却无法从中获得实质性收益,有分析师说。这是一个警告,如果两者都逆转,未来黄金将更加疲弱,除非东欧紧张局势急剧升级,否则黄金的向下修正似乎可能在6月继续。在美联储加息周期开始之际,由于市场继续消化衰退风险,黄金的表现远好于预期。美国短期利率走高提高了持有黄金的机会成本,但黄金也被视为经济危机(如衰退)期间的避险工具。
黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日窄幅震荡,空间走得不大,最高上探1863.80dollar|The ounce was under pressure and fluctuated, but the rebound did not break last week's high. In the late trading session, it closed under pressure and fluctuated, and the daily yield was slightly positive. However, at the beginning of today's trading, it showed a wave of weakness and fell back to1850下方。周线而言,本周是第三周的强弱转换,此前已经连续两根小阳线反弹,弱势不过三,本周是一个拐点,弱势的话本周大概率要转阴下行。留意周线的形态转换。目前日线暂时处于夹角区间中运行,由于空间收缩较小。暂时还看不出强弱,日线是由此转折向下,还是继续拉锯震荡,等待空间的释放确认。4The hourly chart remained basically at the upper track of Bollinger Road yesterday, with pressure contraction and oscillation, and the upper probe did not break its previous high point1869.Long positions do not break high, continuity is not strong, short-term attention within the day1840Low point, long-term attack not too high, rebound not sustained, reverse downward break1840则会走弱,此位是短期临界点,下破看空,不破继续震荡。亚盘低开低走有走弱迹象,但形态上还是最好等破位之后。以免拉锯震荡。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上萧毅舟建议以区间震荡为主,短期上方重点关注1870-1875Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support.
原油昨日横向整理后,尾盘放量上涨,最低回撤115.30附近启稳,守住在短周期台阶低点上方走延续上扬。日线连阳放量收高,日线结构仍处于摸高向上当中。消息方面:因亚洲放松疫情封控,且交易商消化了对欧盟最终将就禁止俄罗斯石油进口达成一致的预期。4小时维持在上升通道中运行,依托布林道中轨做支撑防守点继续震荡上扬,破高后反复放量推高,目前4小时图依旧在中轨之上偏强整理,结合小时图的台阶上扬。次低点不破,短线不宜过早看深空,不过随着反复的推动高点,所以综合分析操作上建议回落顺势做多,下方关注113-114支撑看涨即可。
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Confidence is the guarantee of success, and those who are good at fighting will not be good at it, and those who are good at it will not be good at it. I hope Xiao Yizhou's article can bring you harvest and have a smooth sailing in your future investments. If you have any questions, you can talk to me. I am not only a guidance teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. Xiao Yizhou captures the ever-changing market with rich experience, precise perspective, and sharp judgment!
——This article is exclusively contributed by Xiao Yizhou. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Online publishing is subject to review, and the intraday market is volatile. The above suggestions are for reference only. To obtain daily real-time strategies and current price lists, you can add Xiao Yizhou【vx:xyz158986,QQ:3142775231】
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