指南金师：今日黄金走势分析，月线收官，黄金看探底回...

　　goldMessage surface:

　　中国官方发布的PMIData display,5月份制造业和服务业均出现收缩。再加上对全球供应链中断将继续推高消费者价格的担忧，令投资者人气承压，并令避险贵金属受益。但较高的短期美国利率提高了持有黄金的机会成本。

　　OANDASenior AnalystJeffrey HalleyRepresent:“5月份黄金整体表现令人失望。美元走强的时候金价第一时间显露疲软；而等到美元疲软或美国债券收益率下降，金市却无法兑现实质性利好。如果美国和美债收益率重新走强，金价面临进一步疲软风险。”Halley并补充说，除非东欧紧张局势急剧升级，否则黄金下行修正似乎可能在6月份继续。

　　FXStreetanalystDhwani Mehta发布报告称，在收益率上升之际，金价看跌，“债券市场人气将是判断黄金未来走势的关键。此外要注意的是，欧元区通胀初值和美国咨商会消费者信心指数可能给更广泛市场情绪带来的新线索。”

　　在彭博(Bloomberg)追踪的黄金ETF连续四周出现资金流出后，上周再次出现资金流入(near4ton). according toCFTC的统计数据，投机性金融投资者最近似乎对黄金持更开放的态度，在截至5month24日的一周内，他们的净多头头寸增加了40%, reaching6.1万份。如果事实证明这不仅仅是昙花一现，那么黄金很可能会从这方面获得提振。

　　但美国薪资水平上涨和储蓄增加有助于消费者维持高支出。由于美联储对供应方面的影响很小，激进加息控制高通胀可能仍是必要的。若有任何迹象显示通胀仍将居高不下，或者有新的数据表明，由于工资和储蓄的支出增加，经济表现坚挺，美联储可能会在7月后维持激进加息策略，因此大举做多黄金并非明智选项。

Gold trend analysis:

Gold's Recent Lowest Trend1786位置后得以反弹回升，随后受美联储纪要影响从而打压黄金走低。从而反弹冲击1870位置后跌回1840低位得以支撑，多次测试确认了1840一线支撑的有效性，已经形成了短期联排底部支撑，这可能为后续进一步上行奠定基础。当前1840附近具有大量买盘支撑，已经蓄力突破1850to1860关口，可是多次冲击1860上方却多次受阻回落，代表此上方仍有大量空头压制，多头无法企稳显得有点力不从心。近日黄金维持在1850—1865区间反复震荡，多空胶着没有明显方向。从日线来看依托1840支撑成功坚守布林中轨1848Location,MACD维持红柱能运行状态，MA5—MA10均线维持金叉势头，短期格局1850未能失守还是多头偏强。那么操作上亚欧盘可在1845—1863区间继续高沽低渣，今晚月线收官就需要警惕了，有望打破目前震荡的宁静了，容易开始变盘，下方重点关注1840Nearby support.

　　5.31Golden Strategy:1--1860-1862Empty, stop loss1865, Objective1853-1850

　　2--1845Nearby, stop loss1840, Objective1853-1860

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