Guide Metallographer:5.31黄金一旦下破关键支撑，空头有望继续延续

　　goldMessage surface:

　　美联储理事沃勒周一在货币与金融稳定研究所主办的一次活动中表示，美联储本月将加息50个基点，以给40年来最热的通胀降温，并表示6Month and7月的会议上会再次加息。沃勒自2020year12月在美联储任职以来，已成为美联储中较为鹰派的成员之一。他表示，任何人都不应怀疑美联储遏制物价的承诺。他说：“到今年年底，我支持将政策利率保持在中性之上。如果数据显示通胀居高不下，我准备做更多”。

　　亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克在5month23日抛出有关9月暂停加息的言论后，人们猜测美联储最终可能不会像一些人担心的那样激进。上周公布的美联储5月会议纪要显示，在“加快”取消政策支持后，大多数官员对今年晚些时候采取更灵活的方法持开放态度，9月暂停加息的希望进一步得到了提振。受此影响美元指数近日持续下跌，不过昨日沃勒的讲话为美元提供了支撑，黄金小幅回落。

Tuesday（5month31日）亚洲时段，现货黄金延续震荡，黄金价格周一持坚，交投陷于1848-1864区间，受美元贬值推动 ，同时投资者降低了对美国进一步积极收紧货币政策的预期。美国黄金futuresrise0.04%Report1858美元。金价大概率将连续第二个月下跌。美元指数触及逾一个月低点，令黄金价格对持有其他货币的投资者来说更低一些。10年期美债收益率 上周五收于略高于六周低点的水平。分析师表示:“如果对经济的担忧进一步打压收益率，金价可能进一步获益，1870美元将是第一个考验，然后是1900美元。市场情绪仍然极其脆弱，但只要市场关注的焦点是经济前景恶化，而不是消化更多加息，黄金就可以继续表现良好。”投资者现在预计，在美联储6Month and7月加息后，美国货币政策收紧的速度将最终放缓。

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日窄幅震荡，空间走得不大，最高上探1863.80dollar|The ounce was under pressure and fluctuated, but the rebound did not break last week's high. In the late trading session, it closed under pressure and fluctuated, and the daily yield was slightly positive. However, at the beginning of today's trading, it showed a wave of weakness and fell back to1850下方。周线而言，本周是第三周的强弱转换，此前已经连续两根小阳线反弹，弱势不过三，本周是一个拐点，弱势的话本周大概率要转阴下行。留意周线的形态转换。目前日线暂时处于夹角区间中运行，由于空间收缩较小。暂时还看不出强弱，日线是由此转折向下，还是继续拉锯震荡，等待空间的释放确认。 4The hourly chart remained basically at the upper track of Bollinger Road yesterday, with pressure contraction and oscillation, and the upper probe did not break its previous high point1869.Long positions do not break high, continuity is not strong, short-term attention within the day1840Low point, long-term attack not too high, rebound not sustained, reverse downward break1840则会走弱，此位是短期临界点，下破看空，不破继续震荡。亚盘低开低走有走弱迹象，但形态上还是最好等破位之后。以免拉锯震荡。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1865-1868Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support.

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