Guide Metallographer:5.31黄金多空来回拉锯，关注1840-1870区域突破情况

　　goldMessage surface:

　　美联储宣布6month1日开始以每月475USD100mn(among300亿美元国债，175USD100mnMBS)的步伐缩表，将在三个月内逐步提高缩表上限至每月950USD100mn(among600亿美元国债，350USD100mnMBS)。不同于加息，美联储的缩表对经济以及市场的影响更为显著。由于全球公共卫生事件以来，经济复苏的主要驱动来自美国政府的货币财政化，一旦缩表，则会导致基础货币对信用货币的边际收缩作用放大，与此同时，也必然会造成货币回流美国，全球金融风险则会出现暴露的状况。因此，在美联储缩表后，全球市场的压力难以避免，工业品面临压力。而从上周会议纪要看，美联储尚未打算采取更加鹰派的举措，加息节奏基本也是按照50个基点的速度推进，美联储鹰派不及市场预期，美元指数的回调可能持续。

　　同时，白宫表示，美国总统拜登和美联储主席鲍威尔将于北京时间周三凌晨1:15会面，由于拜登政府对美国消费品价格飙升、地缘局势推高燃料价格，以及全球供应链受全球公共卫生事件阻碍等问题一直没有有效的应对办法，拜登的公众支持率降至36%，是他担任总统以来的最低水平，预计本次会面将会给美国经济带来新的指引。

Gold trend analysis:

　　昨天日线小幅冲高回落，反弹最高触及1864附近后欧美盘连续回撤，尾盘收线在1853.8基本收复了白盘的全部涨幅，可见1865-1870区域的阻力压制依旧强势，日线已经是连续两天收取冲高回落的倒锤线，这是日线走空的信号，但也临近本周的重要消息面，就看技术面与消息面的碰撞~

　　在昨天的操作中，我们欧盘给出了1862.2空、1861.7空，以及美盘1861空都有小幅获利，可惜的是挂单1864未能进场，不然可以持仓高位空单在日线两根倒锤线的加持下说不定有小波段回撤的利润，其实不管是否能走预期下跌，我们今日都是要以反弹高空布局为主的~

　　今天早盘金价小幅延续回撤，最低到了1846下方，短线释放隔夜空头能量后又反弹上来，基本还是没能直接走出1870-1840的震荡区间，不过这也要看午后的反弹力度，因为4小时盘面已经有了均线压制，如果反弹力度不大的话，欧盘还是大概率要走回撤，综合来看，今日黄金操作思路指南金师建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1863-1868Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.

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