Xiao Yizhou:5.31黄金最新午间走势分析及操作策略

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Internationalgold（伦敦金）行情分析：

　　从黄金日线图看，昨日金价亚盘反弹后出现回落，录得带长上影线的K线形态，近段时间虽然MACD指标双线一直在0轴下方维持金叉向上运行的过程，但价格一直保持横盘震荡格局，整体多头表现并不太乐观，需要关注下方1840一线位置的支撑效果。

From gold4小时图看，昨日金价反弹后未能成功站稳并走高，后市重新回落伴有跌破昨日起涨位置的情况出现，短时间内趋势开始有转弱的迹象，现阶段黄金行情窄幅震荡为主，等待非农突破区间定方向，暂时继续留意1840-1863区间的突破情况，或将会成为后市趋势方向的重要参考依据。综合上述分析，短线操作上赵金标建议回调做多为主，下方关注1845-1840Support, attention from above1863-1868Resistance;

Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:

Multiple order strategy: recommendations1845-1840Long in batches, stop loss1835, Objective1855-1862；

Empty Order Strategy: Suggestion1863-1868Short in batches, stop loss1873, Objective1855-1845；

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Tuesday（5month31日）亚洲时段，美油延续涨势，创下3month10日以来最高至117.69dollar/桶；因疫情封控放松，欧盟峰会制裁俄石油产品，供给紧张助力油价上涨。石油输出国组织(OPEC)和包括俄罗斯在内的盟友(OPEC+)将在周四的会议上拒绝西方的增产呼吁。六位OPEC+消息人士告诉外媒，他们将坚持在7月增产43.210000 barrels/日的计划。这更凸显了市场供应吃紧。分析师称，最近一个月，欧洲一直讨论禁运俄罗斯石油，市场日益将额外的制裁视为风险。在欧美夏季需求高峰到来之前，汽油、柴油和航空燃油的需求不断上升，对俄罗斯石油的进一步禁令将使油市供应更趋紧张。市场分析师称，过去六周油价持续反弹，虽然美原油只从102dollar/桶涨到117dollar/桶，但背景是美国每日从战略石油储备（SPR）释放100万桶石油，以及全球经济面临困境。在多重不利因素下，油价依然反弹，这几乎是前所未有的，说明了油市的确面临供应短缺，俄罗斯每日供应量或减少30010000 barrels/日。总体来看，疫情风控放松，需求增加；欧盟制裁俄原油产品，使得供给紧张，加之地缘紧张局势升级，油价上涨动力强劲；由于美国恰逢公共假期，交投淡静。

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日横向整理后，尾盘放量上涨，最低回撤115.30附近启稳，守住在短周期台阶低点上方走延续上扬。日线连阳放量收高，日线结构仍处于摸高向上当中。4小时维持在上升通道中运行，依托布林道中轨做支撑防守点继续震荡上扬，破高后反复放量推高，目前4小时图依旧在中轨之上偏强整理，结合小时图的台阶上扬。次低点不破，短线不宜过早看深空，不过随着反复的推动高点，三重高点之后也要谨防迂回。伴随着短线的探高回落风险。节奏上会上演迂回拉锯。中轨支撑114.50-115.0。综合来看，今日短线操作思路萧毅舟建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注119-120Frontline resistance, short-term focus below115-114Frontline support.

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