Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month30日)欧盘时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,一度创三个交易日新高至1863.34dollar/盎司,因美元疲软,而且俄乌地缘局势提供避险买盘支撑。不过,周一恰逢美国阵亡将士纪念日假期,美国股市、债市、联邦政府办公室、及美联储周一将关闭,流动性比平时低,而且在周三之前没有重要数据公布,市场交投可能会受到限制。而且,由于市场对亚洲疫情的担忧程度降低,上周美国股市大涨,市场风险偏好有所回升,仍需提防黄金空头反扑。
黄金技术面分析:黄金上周小阳十字KAfter two consecutive weeks of rebound, the weekly market is facing a long or short choice, with only three weak rebounds and a risk of market change in the third week. Combined with last week's closingK线,周线强度不够。本周若能走弱转阴,则周线有望继续向下调整,目前周线处于选择当中。日线方向,上周的空间相对不大,周初反弹摸高1868.80After the high point, it fell into shock and saw back and forth, and the space began to contract, basically maintaining a contraction within the range of early last week. And currently entering the angle range waiting to break through, above30The daily line forms a suppression.4小时图布林道开始收缩,结构上处于震荡反弹当中,此前回撤1840一线启稳,目前短线图暂时维稳在低点上方运行。短线相对还是偏反弹一些,但是空间延续性是一个问题,由于周线和日线面临选择,短线图的形态相对变化会快一些,多空互换频繁。需要多加留意形态转换。同时美元短期强弱也将影响到黄金的走向。目前由于空间和小周期形态进入钝化,多空拉锯胶着。日内短线暂时以震荡思路对待,超短线为主。所以综合分析,黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注1870-1875Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1848-1843Frontline support.
Tuesday(5month31日)亚市盘初,美原油延续涨势,一度刷新3month10The highest point since the beginning of the day117.82dollar/桶,因亚洲放松疫情封控,欧美迎来夏季出行高峰期,需求预期改善,而且交易商消化了对欧盟最终将就禁止俄罗斯石油进口达成一致的预期,美元持续走弱也给油价提供支撑。布伦特原油更是顶破了120整数关口,最高触及122.01dollar/桶。在美国和欧洲的夏季需求高峰到来之前,全球汽油、柴油和航空燃油的需求就已经不断上升,若欧盟对俄罗斯石油的进一步禁令达成,料将使原油市场供应更为紧张。
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