Guo Shengshan:5.30今日黄金原油走势分析以操作建议附解套

有志者自有千计万计，无志者只感千难万难，要输就输给追求，要赢就赢给追随。没有人会让你输，除非你不想赢，不求包罗万象，只需该有都有，市场的多空缠绵，造就了一个个波浪的形成，而在金市里遨游，需要学会掌舵，方向感很重要，在对的方向里坚持会成功，而在错的方向里坚持，只能越陷越深，所以，当思路错了的时候，及时转变才是硬道理。

TodaygoldTrend analysis:

　　受美元持续回修调整影响，上周黄金主体结构是有回升的，上方测压至1870一线未破，完成阶段性的回升反弹趋势后，后半周进行一定的回修调整，但下方也守住均线带1840支撑。从日线结构来看，短线黄金回撤至均线带并守住，说明技术上还是认可此前的震荡回升的，且将结构重心抬升，也有利于行情再度出现一波回升反弹，上方还是可以期待1880-90一带压力测试的。但需要注意的是，再度回升可以期待，但不宜期待过大，毕竟目前黄金上涨并非主体结构趋势，也并不是自身需要，更多的还是受美元趋势的影响，所以一旦本周美指下探确认支撑后回升，那么黄金也就随时可能掉头再度向下。本周下方还是先关注均线带1848-45、1840附近支撑，上方则先关注上周高点1870附近压力，主要压力位期待1880-90一带，但目前状况下不宜有期待过高。结合小时图走势，上周五黄金也是如预期的区间内震荡，短线方向不是非常的明朗，本周初可能会延续震荡，也可能会提前出现一波拉升回弹，所以主思路上保留看涨预期，但对于实际上涨则要保持谨慎，切莫盲目的乐观看涨。周初点位下方可关注1845附近，作为主要且关键的支撑位，得失或将影响到短线波段级别走势，上方则先关注1860附近短压，可将1865-70一带视作为主要争夺压力，而1880-90则视作为期待的最终测压位。

　　操作上，因周一美盘休市，故日内亚欧盘时段行情不会很大，且可能又有异动表现，日内激进暂看区间内震荡，操作上也可进行短线低多高空，但结合黄金日线结构，还是更倾向于暂先择低多为主。日内可在回踩1850/47轻仓短多，止损1840Look at the target first1858-60区域。上方第一次触及1860时，激进可极轻仓尝试一次短空，严格设止损1863Look at the target below1855-53区域即减离出局。如果周一行情出现冲破1860，或跌回1845以下的情况，盘中根据实际情况再做实时策略调整。

　　crude oil行情分析走势：

　　原油价格今年已上涨逾40%US crude oil data shows that the market continues to tighten, with gasoline inventories dropping to last year12月以来的最低水平，美元走弱也提振油市，导致原油价格久居高位。现在原油上行趋势线保持完好，本次依托93低位开始震荡走高，日线维持震荡上行走势，布林上轨呈现向上开口运行；周线也是不断下探回升维持震荡走高局势。本周在连续三日以十字星收盘后，终于开始有所动静，迎来了强势拉升，出现了大阳收尾在113高点，代表多头还是强劲。预期此波上涨将冲击116附近，毕竟震荡三日多头蓄力破位，涨势还将延续，故此今日操作上以回调入多为主，下方110附近支撑去多，上方首次触及116可空。

　　解套：

　　1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.

　　2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.

　　3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.

　　4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.