Guide Metallographer:5.30美国消费数据向好，今日黄金走势冲高回落

　　goldMessage surface:

　　上周五公布的美国4Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate recorded4.9%，与预期一致，低于前值的5.2%； corePCEMonthly rate of price index recorded0.3%，与预期和前值的0.3%持平。另外，美国4月个人支出月率录得0.9%Higher than expected0.7%, previous value from1.1%Upgraded to1.4%； U.S.A4月个人收入月率录得0.4%, lower than expected0.5%。而在同比基础上，收入年率同比增长2.6%，支出增长放缓至同比增长9.2%。个人储蓄率暴跌至仅4.4%, for2008year9月以来的最低水平。美国支出数据走高凸显出消费强劲，消费者支出增幅为三个月来最大，显示美国家庭顶住了持续但正在缓和的物价压力。同时，美联储官员正在努力通过加息来将通胀带回2%的目标水平，5月初美联储加息了50个基点，官员们表示可能会在6、7月份进行同样幅度的加息，以抑制需求并降低价格增长，但此后的行动将取决于经济和通胀情况。

　　根据美联储最新的季度财务报告显示，如果按市值计算，截至3月底，由于受到加息的冲击，美联储持有的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券给其带来了3300亿美元的未变现亏损。同时美联储的不断加息也导致工业企业的投资放缓，可能会在未来影响就业市场以及销售数据，美联储能否在本轮加息中实现美国经济的软着陆成为市场关注的焦点。

Gold trend analysis:

Gold Last Week Xiaoyang CrossKAfter two consecutive weeks of rebound, the weekly market is facing a long or short choice, with only three weak rebounds and a risk of market change in the third week. Combined with last week's closingK线，周线强度不够。本周若能走弱转阴，则周线有望继续向下调整。目前周线处于选择当中。日线方向，上周的空间相对不大，周初反弹摸高1868.80After the high point, it fell into shock and saw back and forth, and the space began to contract, basically maintaining a contraction within the range of early last week. And currently entering the angle range waiting to break through, above30The daily line forms a suppression.4小时图布林道开始收缩，结构上处于震荡反弹当中，此前回撤1840一线启稳，目前短线图暂时维稳在低点上方运行。短线相对还是偏反弹一些，但是空间延续性是一个问题，由于周线和日线面临选择，短线图的形态相对变化会快一些。多空互换频繁。需要多加留意形态转换。同时美元短期强弱也将影响到黄金的走向。目前由于空间和小周期形态进入钝化。多空拉锯胶着。日内短线暂时以震荡思路对待，超短线为主。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1870-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1845Frontline support.

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