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Chen Zeqiang:5.30现货黄金最新行情走势分析,黄金最新交易操...

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  市场回顾与展望:

  上周,停滞性通胀与通胀触顶两大阵营,正在连日发布的美国经济数据中寻找答案。随着美国GDPAndPCE指数发布,通胀触顶却打破此前认为美联储将疯狂升息的预期,万箭齐发的背景下,美元跌,goldRise.WTIcrude oil价格则在夏季驾驶季来临之际,登上11周高点。

  本周,市场将迎来欧元区5monthCPIEurope and America5monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值,APIandEIA原油库存变动,美国5monthADP就业人数和5月非农。事件方面需关注加拿大央行利率决议,OPEC+会议以及多位美联储官员的讲话。其中美国非农就业报告备受关注,预计将引发下周市场行情。此外,当周迎来阵亡将士纪念日和端午节,投资者需关注美国和中国等国的假期公告。

  就周五的非农就业数据本身,市场也已经预留了增速放缓的预期。目前的市场预期32.5万较前一个月的42.8万明显下降。尽管本周将公布多项重要数据,但陈泽强认为,这些数据对利率预期影响不大。无论数据如何,美联储似乎都将在接下来的两次货币政策会议上加息50Basis points.

Gold trend analysis:

  因美国经济数据疲软,加之美联储会议纪要并未传递相关鹰派的信号,这令美元遭受沉重打击,从而推动金价走高。金价上周五站上1850dollar/盎司关口,连续第二周收涨,上周,现货黄金收盘上涨8.07USD, increase0.44%,金价收报1853.53dollar/ounce.

  日图来看,金价上周五震荡收涨,开盘即是日线低点,晚间一度突破1860美元,但未能站稳该位置,最终收盘在1853.53dollar/盎司,日线在连续两个交易日收跌后录得一根带有长上影线的小阳线。金价周四守住200日均线支撑,并在周五收复布林带中轨,短线有望延续反弹走势,开盘后首先关注1998-1780Downtrend38.2%Retreat position1867.56附近阻力,若突破该位置,多头目标将看向100Daily moving average1888.53。

  综合来看,虽然美国股市带动全球股市上涨,对金价构成一定压制,但市场已经消化美联储过度激进加息的预期,美元持续走弱,为金价提供支撑,此外,地缘局势依旧紧张,也给金价提供避险支撑,金价守住200日均线关键支撑,短线略微偏向震荡上涨,所以陈泽强建议短线操作上仍可维持回调做多为主,下方重点关注1842-1840Support(10Daily moving average and200日均线),上方关注1867.56附近阻力突破。

Gold Operation Plan:

Suggestions1848-1846Multiple batches, stop loss1839, Objective1866-1868, take a break to see1888;

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting

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