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Guide Metallographer:5.30今日黄金走势分析,非农重磅来袭

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  goldFundamentals:

Monday(5month30day)亚市盘中,黄金平开于1852.51dollar/Ounces, current report1851dollar/盎司附近。由于美国国债收益率持续下跌,上周黄金价格连续第二周上涨。目前看来美元已见顶,消除了已开始反弹的黄金的关键阻力。由于美元指数出现反弹,黄金价格30日亚市早盘跌破1850美元,重点是美国非农就业数据(NFP)本周强势来袭,美元指数因资产连续两周大幅下跌,随后出现小幅反弹。在从1800美元的心理支撑位反弹后,贵金属上周依然走强,但后市情况恐怕将反转。但短线上,盘整走势信号仍强劲。

  本周,市场将迎来欧元区5monthCPIEurope and America5monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI终值,APIandEIAcrude oil库存变动,美国5monthADP就业人数和5月非农。事件方面需关注加拿大央行利率决议,OPEC+会议以及多位美联储官员的讲话。其中美国非农就业报告备受关注,预计将引发市场行情。此外,当周迎来阵亡将士纪念日和端午节,投资者需关注美国和中国等国的假期公告。

  就本周五的非农就业数据本身,市场也已经预留了增速放缓的预期。目前的市场预期32.5万较前一个月的42.8万明显下降。尽管本周将公布多项重要数据,但指南金师认为,这些数据对利率预期影响不大。无论数据如何,美联储似乎都将在接下来的两次货币政策会议上加息50个基点。本周投资者将继续关注美国非农就业数据,与未能创造足够就业机会的其他国家不同,美国经济中的劳动力市场一直保持强劲。未来一周将有大量数据出炉,因此汇市可能活跃起来。  

Gold trend analysis:

Gold's trend was relatively stable last Friday, although bulls intentionally touched60Putting pressure on bears from above is likely to hit some bears in the market, and the overall strength is also quite obvious, ultimately leading to a pullback60Running below, subject to50On the one hand, there is support, and currently it continues to operate between the short and medium term moving averages, forming a certain range of fluctuations. In the short term, there is a possibility of turning around within four hours, so there is a high possibility of forming a double top or head and shoulder top pattern above. Once this form is formed, combined with the medium term decline pattern, gold is likely to continue to fall significantly in the later stage, and the short target in the medium term is also what we mentioned earlier1770Nearby, this position is likely to be the bottom position of this year, while the pressure above continues to maintain60On the front line, although there has been some penetration in the past few days, there is no desire to continue attacking, and the points that need to be paid attention to next week are50-40Two supports, if we continue to break, bears can still follow up.

  目前小时结构上,短线行情可能在1860附近有一定的承压,小时图也表现一定的超买,但短线结构重心得到抬升,所以即便有承压回修,空间也不会很大,回撤支撑位企稳后依然有很大的回升上涨可能性。综上所述,那么周一开盘操作而言,如果看延续多头反转起来,那么基本上不能期待太多回落,点位方面维持在1840-1847Above, we need to continue to look at the highs and lows, and continue to look up until the weekly closing line. If there are repeated fluctuations and breaks1847So it's another fluctuating market. Even if it's fluctuating repeatedly, there may still be a second round of bottoming out, but I think it won't affect the challenge1870-1880水平的。所以综合分析黄金周一操作思路上指南金师建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注1862-1867Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support.

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