Guo Shengshan:5.30周一黄金全面走势分析及操作策略布局

Gains and losses in investment are like riding a roller coaster, with peaks and valleys, which means that whether it's good or bad right now, it's only temporary. Don't take some gains and losses so seriously! Especially in a rapidly rising and plummeting market, when the trend is right, the position will be flipped; The trend reversed and blindly increased margin, ultimately leading to a sell-out; Who hasn't experienced investing before? Don't fantasize that every transaction is always round and full, with a balance between profits and losses and a sense of gain and loss. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes; Tasting a cup of tea quietly, I realized that there were many opportunities right in front of me.

　　gold周一行情分析：

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(5month27day)欧市盘中，全球股市录得八周来首次单周上涨，因获利预期更为乐观，而美元触及一个月低点，此前美联储会议纪要暗示可能在今年晚些时候停止快速升息。黄金维持升势，刚刚触及1860关口，市场今日聚焦美国PCE物价指数，这是美联储青睐的通胀指标。随着美元继续走软，金价周五走强，并推动金价连续第二周上涨，因市场对美联储(Fed)更激进货币政策的押注降温。黄金市场继续守在1850美元的关键心理关口附近，但一些分析师认为，由于通胀压力可能已见顶，短期内金价可能会挣扎。美国商务部周五表示，上月核心个人消费支出(PCE)index(美联储首选的通胀衡量指标)Month on month increase0.3%，与预期一致。数据公布之后，现货黄金一度下跌7USD to1850美元一线，但随后很快自低位强势反弹至日高1861.88美元略下方，现又自高位回落。

　　美联储周三公布的5month3-4日政策会议纪要显示，正如市场预期的那样，多数与会者倾向于在6Month and7月的会议上再加息50个基点。但决策层对7月份之后的各种政策选项持开放态度。美联储须努力解决如何在不导致经济衰退或大幅推高失业率的情况下降低通胀，这已被证明是一项艰巨的任务。美国银行策略师周四(5month26day)表示，如果经济恶化或通胀消退，美联储可能会在9月暂停其货币紧缩政策，联邦基金利率将维持在1.75%to2%的范围内。“我们最近看到美联储的沟通方式发生了微妙但显着的变化，鉴于宏观背景具有挑战性、金融状况收紧以及通胀可能走软，一些美联储官员建议在今年晚些时候利率达到2%后减缓或暂停加息。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金本周目前最高1870附近，最低1840附近，周线方面属于一个先涨后调保持宽幅震荡格局！中期走势上，日线自1807见底上升1870一带受阻有所调整，但整体还是多头的上升修正格局当中，昨天反复震荡整理企稳1840回升，如果看趋势多头反转起来，那么看涨无需期待太多回落！今日操作而言，如果看延续多头反转起来，那么基本上不能期待太多回落，点位方面在1847Above, we need to continue to look at the highs and lows, and continue to look up until the weekly closing line. If there are repeated fluctuations and breaks1847，那么又是一个反复震荡的行情了，即使反复震荡，那么行情可能还有二次摸底的过程，但后市我认为是不影响挑战1870-80水平的！

　　黄金昨日基本按照预期守住支撑位，在美盘时段企稳后开始拉升，收复了亚欧盘的失地。日线级别，布林带逐渐收口，价格维稳于中轨上方，连续两日向下试探，均未能作出有效突破，早间开盘价格依托中轨延续上涨，短线有进一步走高的趋势。4小时图来看，布林带走平，价格自下轨反弹至中轨附近，暂时遇阻，但下方的支撑较为强劲，向上突破就是随时的事情，整体走势上还是震荡偏多，由于这两天波动率降低，使得黄金昨天并未给到预期的低点1835附近，二次测试了1840点之后，就开启的上涨的延续之路，今天亚盘借势刷新了高点，从结构上看，还是回到了1小时上行通道的内部。总体上可以认为，当下黄金还是属于震荡偏多的走势，低点上移的情况下，今天有可能结束数据的利多上测前高1866一线。所以综合分析黄金周一操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1862-1867Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1843-1848Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,yescrude oilDeep research on commodities such as gold and silver,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.