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Guide Metallographer:5.27今日黄金分时做空信号,右肩1865砸锅卖铁空

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  goldMessage surface:

  昨日,美元指数继续延续下跌,美企业获利全线下降令经济前景不明朗,获利下降和股价下跌可能会迫使企业暂停招聘或开始裁员,市场考虑美联储是否可能在今年下半年放缓甚至暂停其紧缩周期,美元指数刷新一个月低点。美股周四大幅收高,零售商发布乐观获利预估,且对美联储过度激进加息的担忧缓解,提振了市场的买入情绪。美三大stock market index均收得强劲涨幅,对经济敏感的非必需消费品股和芯片股跑赢大盘。以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数涨幅最大,急升近2.7%,苹果、特斯拉和亚马逊均带来提振。

  周四发布的经济数据,包括初请失业金人数、成屋待完成销售和国内生产总值,喜忧参半,表明经济表现出的疲软恰好足以促使美联储在秋季之前转向鸽派。对于黄金来说,利率上升正在打压金价,但黄金仍有上涨空间,原因是俄乌战争与美劳动力成本上涨,将造成生活成本居高不下,预估到今年底以前,美通胀率会一直保持在5%about.

Friday(5month27日)亚欧时段,现货黄金震荡微涨,目前交投于1854dollar/盎司附近,美国经济数据正在变坏,市场对美联储明年货币政策的预期有所缓和,美元持续走弱,帮助金价坚守在200日均线上方,而且地缘局势依然紧张,也给多头提供信心。不过,亚洲股市普遍跟随隔夜美股涨势,金价涨幅也受到一些限制。晚间将迎来美国4monthPCE数据,市场观望情绪较浓,投资者需要重点关注。虽然市场预期物价上涨程度会略低于3月份,但通胀大概率处于历史较高水平,有望给金价提供上涨动能。

Analysis of the trend of gold market;

  从当前盘面来看,日图探底回升,从形态上来看,多头并没有完全改变,但是周二上破高,周三按理最大应该回落58形成延续上行,可是价格反而走出了四小时级别的调整,另外日图价格连续两天在二线压制后形成下跌,而昨天周四形成探底回升,四小时由空转多,所以日图的小幅调整可以可以看作是一个上升中继,而上边日图仍然压制于二线这里,上破进一步看高上线,不破就是区间震荡,另外从四小时图来看,至1863转空下跌到1840一线,昨晚靠近十点弱多出现,上升一波,然后回防空档再次上扬,目前四小时反弹信号不变,但是价格运行于上线和一线这里,所以亚盘重点是一线,突破继续看上线,而空等四上时反弹走完出空再介入,而整体来看,短期价格运行于四小时上线与下线之间的轮回,综合来看,今日黄金操作上指南金师建议短期上方关注1863-1868One line of resistance, pay attention below1840-1835Frontline support.

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