Xiao Yizhou:5.27Analysis of the latest trend and operational strategies for gold midday.

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　　昨日，美元指数继续延续下跌，美企业获利全线下降令经济前景不明朗，获利下降和股价下跌可能会迫使企业暂停招聘或开始裁员，市场考虑美联储是否可能在今年下半年放缓甚至暂停其紧缩周期，美元指数刷新一个月低点。美股周四大幅收高，零售商发布乐观获利预估，且对美联储过度激进加息的担忧缓解，提振了市场的买入情绪。美三大stock market index均收得强劲涨幅，对经济敏感的非必需消费品股和芯片股跑赢大盘。以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数涨幅最大，急升近2.7%，苹果、特斯拉和亚马逊均带来提振。

　　周四发布的经济数据，包括初请失业金人数、成屋待完成销售和国内生产总值，喜忧参半，表明经济表现出的疲软恰好足以促使美联储在秋季之前转向鸽派。对于gold来说，利率上升正在打压金价，但黄金仍有上涨空间，原因是俄乌战争与美劳动力成本上涨，将造成生活成本居高不下，预估到今年底以前，美通胀率会一直保持在5%about.

　　黄金方面，昨日基本按照预期守住支撑位，在美盘时段企稳后开始拉升，收复了亚欧盘的失地。日线级别，布林带逐渐收口，价格维稳于中轨上方，连续两日向下试探，均未能作出有效突破，早间开盘价格依托中轨延续上涨，短线有进一步走高的趋势。4小时，布林带走平，价格自下轨反弹至中轨附近，暂时遇阻，但下方的支撑较为强劲，向上突破就是随时的事情，整体走势上还是震荡偏多，日内操作思路回调做多即可，下方关注1848Frontline support.

　　crude oil周四大幅上涨，得益于美股上涨，且美原油和汽油库存在夏季驾车出行季节来临前显露持续减少的迹象；英国政府周四宣布对能源公司盈利征收暴利税也为油价上涨助力。北半球夏季即将到来之际，随着需求几无放缓迹象，而库存在下降，美原油futures交割地俄克拉荷马州库欣的库存已连续三周减少，欧洲也一直在采购轻质低硫原油，以弥补俄供应缺口。

　　西方国家一直要求OPEC+加快增产速度，前者正努力应对处于纪录高位并威胁经济增长的通胀。OPEC+成员国坚持认为，原油市场是平衡的，最近的价格上涨与基本面无关。OPEC+方面表示，该联盟将在6month2日的会议上坚持去年达成的石油产量协议，在7月增产43.210000 barrels/日，不理会西方要求其更快增产以缓解油价急升趋势的呼吁。

　　整体来看，原油价格的上涨趋势已经很明朗，短线维持看多基调。日线级别，布林带开口向上，价格在本周经历了三天的横盘整理之后，依托中轨支撑，开启了上涨模式，不过需要注意的是，上方116一线阻力较为强劲，前期价格多次触及到，都未能上破。4小时，布林带开口，一根大阳线突破上轨附近阻力，打开了上方空间，日内价格有望继续上涨，去试探116一线，短线操作思路回调做多，下方关注113.5Frontline support.

Operational strategy:

Gold: Callback1848Long nearby, stop loss1840, Objective1865。

Crude oil: callback113.8Long nearby, stop loss113, Objective116。

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