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Good tea is not afraid of fine taste, good deeds are not afraid of detailed discussion. Live fish will swim upstream, while dead fish will drift with the current. In the face of the market, it is the same. A hundred empty words are better than one action, precise strategy, than one execution. The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion. A person who doesn't know where to go, facing in any direction, is in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be in the opposite direction! Fate does not refuse, fate does not stay, and meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart! Guide Jinshi looks forward to becoming friends with you! The guide financier is willing to be your guide on the investment path, and even more willing to be your close friend! Strength building classic, success is not accidental
Message interpretation:
昨日美国三大stock market index纷纷收涨,道琼斯工业指数收涨1.61%S&P500Index closing up1.99%,科技股为主的纳斯达克指数收涨2.68%,随着本周市场买点浮现,各类风险资产迎来反弹修正,不过金价整体表现较为低迷,昨日小幅收跌0.09%。
宏观数据方面,美国第一季度实际GDPRecorded quarterly annualized rate correction value-1.5%Expected value is-1.3%,今年第一季度受到乌俄冲突影响,全球供应链再度陷入瓶颈,美国缺工情况严重的环境下也导致美国第一季度GDP迎来负值。劳动力市场方面,美国上周初请失业金人数录得2110000 people, lower than market expectations21.5万人,上周续请失业金人数录得134.6万人,整体来看,美国劳动力市场仍处在疫情爆发前水平,整体美国市场仍处在劳动力资源短缺情况,部分企业更是迫使提高薪资来留住劳工,营运成本上升也反映在各大企业第一季度财报上。房市数据方面,美国4月成屋签约销售指数月率下降3.9%, USA4月成屋签约销售指数月率下降3.9%,该指数至两年低点99.3,为连续第六个月下降,预期降幅为2%。最新迹象显示抵押贷款利率上升和房价上涨正在抑制住房需求。
根据昨日美国纽约联储发布最新的经济研究,也就是消费者预期调查的数据(SCE),该数据显示短期通胀预期持续上升,但中期通胀预期已经开始平滑,长期通胀预期逐步稳定,该数据主要囊括1300名美国代表受访者。美国消费者在很大程度上仍预计当前的通胀冲击是暂时的,从长远来看,价格涨幅将保持低位且稳定。不过可以留意到,随着通胀数据基期不断垫高,除非物价增长继续失速,那通胀很可能开始逐步渐低,届时也会符合美联储对于未来的通胀预期,另外今日晚间将有一系列美联储所关注的通胀数据发布,投资者可以密切留意。
goldMarket trend analysis:
黄金技术面分析:黄金昨日延续震荡回修,下方再度回撤至1840一线,走势基本符合预期,但是目前1840支撑尚不明确,而从目前回弹动作来看,市场多头信心不够,很显然短线回修调整动能还没有完全释放掉,今日行情很有可能进一步的回修调整延续。根据日线以及短线结构,下方还是着重关注10、200Daily line1838附近支撑回踩测试,小时图结构上,目前虽然有一定的止跌迹象,但回弹意愿不强,预示下方还有一定的回撤空间,着重关注下方前期交易密集点位1838-35一带回撤,务必有待回撤至此有明确支撑作用后再考虑看行情技术性回弹。晚间上方则继续关注1855附近,但如果今晚行情出现强势回升,则对于后期行情运行结构可能会有一定的不利。
日线目前处于均一夹角区间整理,上有30Daily suppression, below10With the support of the daily line, the week ended today. The opening position is still in place1850Neutral position, lower critical1840.Upper critical1860.4Houtu Bling Road began to close. Yesterday, it hit the lower track and started to stabilize. After a second dip, it slightly rebounded and closed near the middle track. Today, the opening is still near the middle track, and the pressure on the upper track is currently1856附近,下轨则是1840Support.1Hour chart on1840Organize to form temporary support. But I haven't stood yet1856前一日的反弹高点,使得多空延续性不足,受到美元的走弱,提振反弹。短线行情虽有反弹,但反弹又是做空的机会,1855的压力下还是继续空。现在行情是震荡下跌的走势,经过一天的震荡,随时可以走出一波行情。周四虽然没有继续破位新低,但是每次反弹都是承压的,说明上涨力度不足,多头动能有限,最后的结果只有一个,就是继续下跌。现在短线受到1840位置的支撑,后面必将破位下跌,继续空即可!所以综合分析黄金操作思路指南金师建议低多高空即可,上方关注1860-1865Resistance, pay attention below1840-1835Support.
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