Guo Shengshan:5.26晚间黄金行情涨跌分析以及策略布局

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Early Thursday, Beijing time2Point, Federal ReserveFOMCpublish5Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting. Most Federal Reserve officials support raising interest rates in the upcoming meetings50They believe that a significant interest rate hike will provide policy flexibility for later this year, and all officials support the start of a scale reduction plan. This summary is considered to be in line with market expectations and implies flexibility in future interest rate hikes, as officials have raised rates in the first half of this year and next yearPCEInflation expectations, comments suggest that the Federal Reserve will conduct three more rounds50A one basis point interest rate hike will end the 'water harvesting'. 尽管隔夜美联储会议纪要鹰派略微不及预期，在短线给金价提供了一些支撑，但全球央行料将进一步加息，这会增加持有黄金的机会成本，而且美国股市上涨，打压黄金的避险买需。本交易日重点关注美国一季度GDP修正值和美国初请失业金人数变动，市场预计美国一季度GDP可能会小幅上修，初请失业金人数料将进一步反映美国就业市场稳健复苏，可能会对金价不利。

Gold's Recent Lowest Trend1786The position rebounded and rebounded, breaking even this week1850Maximum impact of the level1870The gate is obstructed. The next day, gold was suppressed due to the impact of the Federal Reserve minutes, and the intraday volatility and decline continued to digest the expectations of the meeting minutes. The US market period had fallen below1850At midnight, even after the big hurdle1842低点后下探回升。现在日线五连阳被夭折，不过并未破坏多头局势，MA5—MA10Still maintaining the momentum of the Golden Fork,MACD红柱能放量运行。只是受美联储加息预期影响从而打压黄金，今日黄金并未延续反弹势头，而是承压1856继续走低，欧盘时段跌至隔夜低点1842附近，多次触及反弹都不超过1850大关，就如隔日1860多次冲击回落一模一样，个人预期美盘有望跌破1842低点至1835附近。那么晚间美盘操作以空为主，反弹1850Keep empty nearby, follow below1835Nearby support.

Golden Strategy One:1850Near empty, stop loss1856, Objective1835-1842

Golden Strategy 2:1840Nearby, stop loss1832, Objective1845-1848

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Thursday(5month26day)，国际油价维持弱势上涨格局，全球供需形势紧张，即将到来的美国驾驶旺季将进一步推升油价。但欧盟与成员国匈利亚就对俄罗斯石油进口禁运计划发生争执，限制了油价涨势。匈牙利正在争取约7.5100 million euros(8USD100mn)投资来升级其炼油厂，并扩建一条来自克罗地亚的管道，以使其能够摆脱对俄石油依赖。美国能源信息署(EIA)According to data released overnight, as of5month20日当周，美国原油库存降幅大于预期，因出口飙升，这提振了市场。石油市场的焦点是下周举行的欧盟峰会，届时各国将再次尝试就欧盟范围内对俄罗斯石油进口禁运达成一致。分析师表示，美国库存减少和欧盟即将对俄罗斯石油进口实施禁运正在推高价格。而即将到来的美国驾驶旺季将进一步推升油价。欧阳平认为：美国年度驾车旺季从阵亡将士纪念日周末开始，这可能会刺激石油需求，未来油价可能将进一步上涨。

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日继续十字K线整理收盘，连续四个交易日的十字星K线整理，日线进入钝化。多空暂时未看出有效破位，昨日基本维持在周初的宽幅区间来回拉锯，由于走不出区间，所以伴随着小区间的来回拉锯，日线继续等待实体K线的突破。4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间来回拉锯，也是周初的窄幅整理区间，而此前的高低点112.70-105.20也未有效突破，目前小周期暂时维持在此区间收敛，日线等待实体K线打破僵局。1小时图的布林道上轨在111.50.下轨在109.0-108.20附近，基本上是近期的震荡小区间，短期继续维持在区间内看震荡，综合来看：原油今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议上方短期重点关注112.5-113.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.0-107.5Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.