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Early Thursday, Beijing time2Point, Federal ReserveFOMCpublish5Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting. Most Federal Reserve officials support raising interest rates in the upcoming meetings50They believe that a significant interest rate hike will provide policy flexibility for later this year, and all officials support the start of a scale reduction plan. This summary is considered to be in line with market expectations and implies flexibility in future interest rate hikes, as officials have raised rates in the first half of this year and next yearPCEInflation expectations, comments suggest that the Federal Reserve will conduct three more rounds50A one basis point interest rate hike will end the 'water harvesting'. All participants agreed that the US economy is "very strong/The labor market is very tight, "they estimate that in the second quarterGDPIt will grow steadily and be close to or above the annual trend, with very high inflation rates.
周三现货黄金重启跌势,盘中一度下破1850美元关口,美联储会议纪要公布后短线走高,收窄日内跌幅,最终收跌0.67%Report1853.41dollar/盎司;现货白银先跌后涨,最终收跌0.44%Report21.99dollar/盎司。美元指数回升至102关口上方,美盘时段回吐部分涨幅,最终收涨0.334%Report102.12。 U.S.A10年期国债收益率震荡企稳,最终收报2.751%。
The latest market trend of gold:
Thursday(5month26day)亚市尾盘,随着美元反弹,现货黄金短线急跌,金价刚刚跌破1845dollar/Ounces, heavy intraday decline10美元。尽管隔夜美联储会议纪要鹰派略微?预期,在短线给金价提供了一些支撑,地缘局势和全球经济衰退风险也支撑金价,但全球央行料将进一步加息,这会增加持有黄金的机会成本,黄金多头有所顾忌。而且美国股市上涨,打压黄金的避险买需。本交易日重点关注美国一季度GDP修正值和美国初请失业金人数变动,市场预计美国一季度GDP可能会小幅上修,初请失业金人数料将进一步反映美国就业市场稳健复苏,可能会对金价不利。
黄金技术面分析:昨日金价在近期连续四个交易日反弹回升后如期迎来中阴回落调整,全天价格平开低走不断回落下行破底,最终在美盘前后进一步加速向下击穿1850关口支撑延续回落下行走跌,凌晨在会议纪要公布后金价企稳1842关口迎来震荡回升修复,最终收盘位于1850上方报收探底回升长下引阴线,整体价格承压1865-69区域出现压制回落震荡,短线1870将成为近期多头反弹强阻压制区域,且目前价格偏离20日均线较远,还有进一步调整回落预期,今日冲高依托昨日开跌口1853-55区域继续主空下看回落,下方短线支撑继续关注前期4小时起涨点1838一线,日内快速回落下探并企稳此位置可短多一次看震荡回升,日内继续保持反抽主空节奏不变,1860下方依旧压制震荡格局,
黄金今日走势更加清晰,昨日还可按照偏多的对待,那么今日格局上可以直接说,多头已去做空才是顺势,因为咱们也强调过了,目前的走高并不是强,而是重新寻找新趋势的阶段,而在6月即将正式的加息缩表空头阴云笼罩之下,这种程度的上涨诱多的嫌疑极大,加上时间节点上临近拐点,一旦出现上涨乏力必会深跌,所以咱们的重点关注点还是在颈线压制1855一带,不能有效企稳大胆做空,而激进者可在1850-1853区域开空,目标看1840一线,所以综合分析黄金操作思路指南金师建议反弹做空为主,上方关注1865-1870Resistance, pay attention below1835-1840Support.
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