Guo Shengshan:5.25今日黄金是涨是跌？原油独家分析策略

If a ship doesn't know which port to sail to, then the wind in any direction will not be downwind. If the transaction cannot be executed as planned, any trend in the market will be fleeting. Orders are always done as one pleases, the market is always what one does not want, always wanting to control everything, but actually being in the game! In a big environment, one should know to be content with the situation, while in a small ordinary situation, one should know how to overcome difficulties. There is no once and for all leisure, nor is there any easy blessing, gradually realizing that living hard is the norm. If you want to get more, you must not be afraid of hard work, sink your heart, and go all out!

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Federal ReserveFOMC的委员们一致投票同意，五月会议加息50个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间提升至0.75%-1%。鲍威尔重申美联储6Month and7月可能各加息50个基点，并表示早点加息可能会更好。因市场对美国经济衰退的担忧升温，上周美元指数大跌逾1%，远离多年高位，给金价反弹提供机会，而地缘局势担忧也有所升温，在金价持续下跌后，帮助吸引逢低买盘，给金价提供反弹动能。目前鉴于俄乌冲突蔓延，匈牙利将从5month25日起进入战时紧急状态，黄金避险升温迎来进一步上涨突破。本周将迎来美联储会议纪要，预计会进一步夯实市场对美联储激进加息的预期。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克周一表示，在未来两个月预期均加息50个基点后，美联储暂停进一步加息，评估行动对通胀和经济的影响。

Gold's Recent Lowest Trend1786位置后得以反弹回升，目前已经突破1850大关，并且反复回踩确认1850关口支撑。隔日美盘时段受俄乌局势进一步蔓延，黄金顺势突破1860Da Guan to1870压力，代表1850大关已经企稳，整体反弹势头比较有力，短期底部已经形成，1850大关也已经企稳。现在日线低位锤子线在底，迎来五连阳反弹回升，从而带动MACD红柱能开始放量运行，隔日延续涨势已经成功突破布林中轨，收尾在1860关口之上，MA5—MA10维持金叉势头，加之美元自高位延续回落，全球ETF持仓出现连续增持，短期看涨情绪乐观。今日操作上依然保持回调入多思路，亚欧盘回踩关注1860附近支撑，上方首先关注1872压力与1878Location.

Golden Strategy One:1872Near empty, stop loss1878, Objective1865-1860

Golden Strategy 2:1860Nearby, stop loss1854, Objective1872-1867

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday(5month24day)上海原油价格收盘下跌15.1Yuan, decrease2.15%。主力合约2207Final closing685.8element/Barrel15.1element/桶。油价收盘下跌，达沃斯经济论坛开幕，全球经济放缓的担忧升温，这给油价压力。不过，美国夏季原油需求增加，俄乌冲突等因素始终支持油价。油价依然陷入到区间震荡之中。原油大家只需要了解大趋势，那么做单就不会错，目前而言高通膨的压力会让经济下行，同时对于原油的需求会逐步减弱，而至于欧盟对俄能源的制裁也没有实质性的进展，即便目前油价处于高位盘旋也不过是无奈之举，大趋势空头不会错。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日开盘在110.346dollar/桶，开盘后出现了先跌后涨走势，回撤低点在108.5水平企稳反弹，最高点给到111.390美元遇阻徘徊。从原油大格局上看，油价处于一个高位震荡中，油价正在面临着方向的选择，113.2美元就是油价继续走高的关键，进一步突破之后油价上涨浪才有望成型，今日油价探底回升，在108.5一线出现多头反转，进一步表明该位置对于油价上涨很重要，再次下破将出现上涨浪出现转跌，综上所述总结：油价整体处于空头下行中，通道支撑在108.1一线，所以原油今日操作上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注111.8-112.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below109.1-108.6Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.