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Tuesday(5month24日)国际金价持坚,美盘发力上涨,目前最高触及1869美元附近。美元指数续创4month26Recently, it has reached a new low101.786。鉴于美联储在6Month and7月会议上各加息至少50个基点的预期已经被消化,投资者继续解除对美元进一步上涨的押注,有利于以美元计价的黄金。
Federal ReserveFOMC的委员们一致投票同意,五月会议加息50个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间提升至0.75%-1%。鲍威尔重申美联储6Month and7月可能各加息50个基点,并表示早点加息可能会更好。因市场对美国经济衰退的担忧升温,上周美元指数大跌逾1%,远离多年高位,给金价反弹提供机会,而地缘局势担忧也有所升温,在金价持续下跌后,帮助吸引逢低买盘,给金价提供反弹动能,目前已经突破1860to1870Near.
从黄金目前走势来看在日线走势上目前暂时维持在低位的窄幅区间震荡中,日线上在一波反弹回落之后对于前期下跌的反弹修正基本修复完成,目前K线继续承压于短周期均线偏弱运行中。在H4级别走势上目前出现一定程度的背离,美盘一波冲高回落之后维持窄幅震荡中,目前走势持续偏弱一些。
Analysis of Gold Message Surface:
Tuesday(5month24day)美市早盘强势走高,有望连续第4个交易日上涨,现货黄金迅速拉升至1868.78美元高点,较日低反弹超19美元,因美元继续从近期高点小幅回落。数据显示,一波巨量买单推动金价加速上涨:COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time5month24day21:46Instant trading within one minute2652Hand, total value of trading contracts4.95亿美元。随着美元需求下降,中国各地的封锁措施有望放松,以及拜登总统周一出人意料地发表声明,暗示可能降低对中国进口商品征收的关税,提振了市场情绪,并为黄金进一步上涨创造了空间。在经济危机期间被视为安全保值手段的无收益黄金,在美国加息后对投资者的吸引力往往会下降。
黄金技术面来看:
4小时小台阶震荡反弹,目前的反弹还是当作修正对待,空间上并未完全反转趋势,从二浪下跌高点1998的下挫,反抽昨日触及到了0.382的阻力,此位是反弹的首个阻力点,昨日也确实点到即止。日线收低留出上影线,使得短线仍存悬念。从浪形反弹修正的空间来看。0.382的反弹是正常的修正区域。此处若能压制转空,那么后市仍会看向跌势,不过近期美元表现弱势,使得黄金短线还是小有支撑,预计周初在美联储利率决议之前,短线还是震荡拉锯节奏。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注1875-1880Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1854-1849Frontline support.
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