Original gold oil:5.24黄金美盘最新走势分析布局策略

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Monday(5month23day)Spot gold hit a new high in the past two weeks1865.33dollar/Ounces, as the US dollar index plummeted nearly1%To a new low in one month102.076Investors have expressed concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can guide the US economy towards a so-called soft landing, and the profit margins of some large companies have been impacted, which is seen as a potential warning for future concerns. The US dollar index has surged since the beginning of this year, and this month it has hit nearly20Annual high105The threshold, but the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hike has been largely digested, and the downward correction trend of the US dollar in the short term may further expand, making further upward movements more difficult. U.S.A4Monthly inflation rate has increased by more than8%, distance3Exceeding the monthly record40Annual high8.5%Not far. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will6Month and7Continuation at the monthly policy meeting5Monthly policy meeting rhythm - continue to raise interest rates50A basis point, but the US economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter1.4%This has raised concerns among investors about whether the Federal Reserve can guide the US economy towards a so-called soft landing. Analysts say they expect the federal funds rate to rise at some point next year3.75%Nevertheless, many consumers may still be more concerned about high housing costs and gasoline prices. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, it usually takes one year to18个月的时间才能看到回报，这期间会给消费者带来更多痛苦，房贷车贷都会上涨。通货膨胀已经升温到现在挤压家庭预算并抹去收入增长的地步。不幸的是，我认为至少在接下来的几个月里，我们将不得不在接受更高利率的同时继续面对高通胀。原金油认为；宏观经济前景恶化以及通胀上升仍应支持黄金，股市表现不佳的风险上升增强了其分散风险的吸引力。【原金油免费指导VX：MACD33388, buckle:244256354】

Technical analysis of gold; Gold fell last week, rebounded and closed positive, but fell at the beginning of the week1786After stabilizing on the first line, it quickly rebounded, and after falling on the second wave of the daily line, it was accompanied by a rebound correction. The weekly harvest yields a central yangKLine. Fifty words on the daily lineKLine sorting, combined with the rebound of the previous day's positive line. The daily line is still in the process of rebound correction, crossKLine start stability10Above the daily line, there is still room for further upward rebound in the short term, while the daily line shows a continuous positive rebound performance. Breaking the previous extremely weak decline, we still need to pay attention to the direction selection after the rebound this week. Whether to continue the decline after the rebound correction or form a reversal remains to be determined.4The hour chart undergoes a small level of two wave rebound, with1786Make a wave of rebound to1836Afterwards, step back1807.Pushing the second wave up again, of course, is a small-scale rebound wave shape, and the current space is not yet certain whether it is a reversal of the rise. Currently, the second wave rebound is continuing. The short-term moving average turns upwards to form temporary support.1Hour chart surrounding270The unit moving average is repeated. Currently, it is in the process of breaking through the big moving average. After standing firm, the hour chart will bounce upwards in a scattered wave with multiple hairs. At present, it is in the driving indicator stage, and combined with the small cycle rebound step wave shape, it stepped back on last Friday1832Slightly stabilizing before reaching higher, relying on short-term support today1832做防守点，回踩先行看多，欧美盘放量后再择阻力反手空。反弹的过程中遇阻力也会承压回落，反弹的空间由形态来决定大小。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上原金油建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1870-1875Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support. [Original Gold Oil Free Guidance]VX：MACD33388, buckle:244256354】

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Monday(5month23day)，国际油价上涨，因美国即将步入传统驾驶出游季节，燃料需求增加且供应紧张。美国的高峰驾驶季节传统上从5月底的阵亡将士纪念日开始，到9月的劳工节结束。尽管有人担心燃油价格飙升可能会削弱需求，但TomTom和谷歌的移动数据在最近几周攀升，显示美国全境有越来越多的人驾车路上。美国总统拜登周一表示，释放战略储备不足以满足需求，希望石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国提高产量。美国正在经历转型，我们将减少对化石燃料的依赖。大型石油公司普遍承认，加大钻探力度意味着要花更多的钱。石油公司没有过多的资金来投资新的钻井项目，甚至贝克休斯也承认，钻机数量远低于大流行前的水平。原金油认为：“油价受到支撑，因为汽油市场在美国驾车高峰期前强劲，供应仍然吃紧，炼油厂通常处于高负荷运转，以满足美国司机需求。沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼亲王上周末在接受英国媒体采访时表示，沙特将继续支持俄罗斯在OPEC+产油国集团中所起到的作用。沙特希望能与OPEC+达成一项协议，其中包括俄罗斯。世界应当认识到这个产油国联盟的‘价值’。阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹亲王的言论是一个重要迹象，表明沙特这一美国昔日传统盟友仍愿意支持俄罗斯，尽管目前西方试图孤立俄罗斯，且俄罗斯石油产量下降，已引发了人们对后者在OPEC+中地位的质疑。在俄乌冲突爆发之后，沙特始终抵制住了西方要求其提高原油产量、以帮助压低油价的压力，【原金油免费指导VX：MACD33388, buckle:244256354】

　　原油技术面分析；原油上周依旧十字K线收平，伴随着下探回升依旧收在高位，多空续量不足，在高位反复迂回拉锯。上周五轻微收高。但实体K线依旧不大，两根K线都是星K线，实体小短线钝化。本周仍要等待放量形成有效突破，目前仍处于高位整理当中，4小时伴随反复的下探回升，反复的摸高当中，而震荡的区间在上移，反复的摸高向中。将低点上移。单从目前的短期结构来看，还是处于震荡向上，至少在未破掉低点防守之前，目前的短线形态处于震荡向上的。而回踩的低点在向上，区间下轨的多空临界点在93.0.此前的宽幅震荡区间下轨。1小时图拉锯的幅度较大，宽基数震荡拉锯，但实质的方向性延续性不足，点位比方向更关键，卡点震荡对待。短线多空都有机会。重点是进场位置。综上所述，原油今日操作思路上原金油建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注113.0-113.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.0-107.5Frontline support. [Original Gold Oil Free Guidance]VX：MACD33388, buckle:244256354】