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goldLatest market analysis:
Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month23day)Spot gold hit a new high in the past two weeks1865.33dollar/Ounces, as the US dollar index plummeted nearly1%To a new low in one month102.076Investors have expressed concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can guide the US economy towards a so-called soft landing, and the profit margins of some large companies have been impacted, which is seen as a potential warning for future concerns. The US dollar index has surged since the beginning of this year, and this month it has hit nearly20Annual high105The threshold, but the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hike has been largely digested, and the downward correction trend of the US dollar in the short term may further expand, making further upward movements more difficult. This week's focus will be on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting and the United StatesPCEInflation report.
European Central Bank President Lagarde stated on Monday that the European Central Bank may7Starting from the month of interest rate hike9Exit negative interest rates before the end of the month. Lagarde said that if we see inflation stabilizing in the medium term2%Gradually normalizing interest rates to a neutral rate would be appropriate. Lagarde said, "I expect the net purchases under the asset purchase plan to end at the beginning of the third quarter, which will enable us to7The interest rate increase at the meeting in June is in line with our forward guidance. Based on the current outlook, we may exit negative interest rates by the end of the third quarter Indicator US10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)After three consecutive trading days of decline, it strengthened. In addition, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will announce new personal consumption expenditures(PCE)dataPCEIt is a favored inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve, which will provide the market with the latest information on the speed of price increases in the United States. The US dollar, which usually moves in the opposite direction to gold, fell on Monday after recording its first week of decline in nearly two months.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded after a unilateral decline at the daily level,KDJGolden fork,MACDIt also forms a golden fork,5Daily moving average10Daily moving average, short-term bias towards bulls, currently testing21Daily moving average1858.30Nearby resistance, further resistance in1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Retreat position1867.67The nearby resistance is relatively strong, and it remains to be seen whether it can be further broken. Further increase resistance in100Daily moving average1885.90Nearby. Preliminary support below100Daily moving average1839.00Nearby, before losing the position, the aftermarket tends to be bullish. Further support on10Daily moving average1831.91Nearby, if the gold price drops below this level, it weakens the short-term bullish signal. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the main focus should be on a pullback to lower levels, supplemented by a rebound to higher levels, with a focus on the above1868-1873Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1835Frontline support.
Golden Strategy One:1868Near empty, stop loss1873, Objective1855-1848
Golden Strategy 2:1845Nearby, stop loss1835, Objective1860-1855
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