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指南金师:今日黄金走势分析,猴痘来袭可能会影响金价!

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  goldMarket news interpretation:

  黄金消息方面,黄金利多因素相对增加,主要包括:乌克兰呼吁加强对俄制裁,排除停火或向俄罗斯割让任何领土的可能,俄罗斯则加强对乌东部和南部地区的攻击。七国集团警告通胀风险,并将目前的通胀冲击完全归咎于俄罗斯;对美国经济放缓的担忧,重挫美国股市,标普500和纳指连续七周下跌,创造最近21年来最长跌势,美元同样下跌,刷新两周新低。最近爆发的猴痘疫情,已经波及全球15个国家,世界卫生组织警告未来还将扩散,对猴痘疫情的担忧可能支撑金价。

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month23day)Spot gold hit a new high in the past two weeks1865.33dollar/Ounces, as the US dollar index plummeted nearly1%To a new low in one month102.076Investors have expressed concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can guide the US economy towards a so-called soft landing, and the profit margins of some large companies have been impacted, which is seen as a potential warning for future concerns. The US dollar index has surged since the beginning of this year, and this month it has hit nearly20Annual high105关口,但市场对美联储激进加息的预期已经基本消化,短期内美元下行修正走势可能会进一步扩大,进一步上涨可能会更加艰难。

  指南个人观点:美元指数短线一波跳水,目前跌至102.80附近。受美元走软推动,现货黄金快速上涨,金价刚刚突破1850关口。除了美元走软,俄乌谈判相关消息令市场避险情绪升温,这也利好金价走势。同时,市场对美联储6月大幅度升息75基点的预期降温,使得金价走出一波释然性的回升。另外,有部分市场人士认为美联储很可能在6月的议息会议上加息75基点,这种预期一直给金价压力。不过上周,在美联储主席鲍威尔再度发表50基点的加息言论之后,这种预期即可消散,侧面支持了金价。另外,美联储最鹰派官员对加息75基点避而不谈,声称美国经济表现良好。但从技术面上分析,黄金目前还需先回踩一波后大方向周线看涨,这样才会有充足的上涨动能。

Gold trend analysis:

From a technical perspective, gold rebounded after a unilateral decline at the daily level,KDJGolden fork,MACDIt also forms a golden fork,5Daily moving average10Daily moving average, short-term bias towards bulls, currently testing21Daily moving average1858.30Nearby resistance, further resistance in1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Retreat position1867.67The nearby resistance is relatively strong, and it remains to be seen whether it can be further broken. Further increase resistance in100Daily moving average1885.90Nearby. Preliminary support below100Daily moving average1839.00Nearby, before losing the position, the aftermarket tends to be bullish. Further support on10Daily moving average1831.91附近,若金价回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号。然后是5month18Daily high point1824.63附近支撑。综上所述,黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1844-1839Frontline support

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