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Last Friday(5month20day)At the end of the US market, spot gold closed1846.22element/Ounces, up4.22USD or0.23%The highest daily hit1849.33dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1832.20dollar/Ounces, spot gold rose last week34.81USD or1.92%... the lowest touch1786.48.20In terms of nearby and overall gold, spot gold rose last week34.81USD or1.92%。
尽管金价短期内上涨,但基本面前景依然看跌。实际收益率的上升增加了投资无利息收益的黄金的机会成本,而全球市场已经接受了东欧在打拉锯战。全球经济增长面临的风险也抑制了对这种用于工业应用的金属的需求、从收益率角度来看,关注加息预期,寻找美联储未来加息步伐可能放缓的初步线索,这可能令黄金受益、本周,如美联储会议纪要放鹰,黄金或迎来一波涨势。
Federal ReserveFOMCThe committee unanimously voted to raise interest rates at the May meeting50By one basis point, raise the target range for the federal funds rate to0.75%-1%Powell reaffirms the Federal Reserve6Month and7Possible monthly interest rate hikes50A basis point and indicating that raising interest rates earlier may be better. Due to rising concerns in the market about a US economic recession, the US dollar index plummeted more than half last week1%Staying away from multi-year highs provides an opportunity for the rebound of gold prices, while concerns about the geopolitical situation have also escalated. After the continuous decline of gold prices, it has helped attract bargain hunters and provided momentum for the rebound of gold prices. Currently, it has broken through1850to1860Near.
Analysis of the trend of gold market;
Monday(5month23day)International gold prices hit a one and a half week high1865.25Dollar ounces, aided by the weakening of the US dollar. Although the rise in the yield of US treasury bond bonds has limited the growth of gold denominated in US dollars, gold is also regarded as a safe haven asset when the political and economic uncertainty intensifies, and the US dollar index declines, as investors are increasingly worried about the negative impact that the accelerated interest rate rise of the Federal Reserve may have on the economy. St. Louis Fed President Brad reiterated his view last week that the Fed should raise interest rates this year3.5%In order to control high inflation faster. According to the guidance of a gold expert, there is currently no consensus on whether gold has broken away from its medium-term downward trend or simply risen due to the continued pullback of the US dollar. Before turning to a structural bullish trend, I need to see gold maintain its recent gains amidst the strengthening of the US dollar.10The yield on one-year US Treasury bonds has strengthened after three consecutive trading days of decline, limiting demand for non yield asset gold. However, the weak US dollar has made gold more attractive to overseas buyers, and gold is also seen as a safe haven asset during economic crises. The deteriorating macroeconomic outlook and rising inflation should still support gold, and the increased risk of poor stock market performance has enhanced its attractiveness for risk diversification. The risk of the US economy falling into recession is increasing, and the reasons for the US economy falling into recession are either rising inflation or policy mistakes by the Federal Reserve. According to a gold analyst, the recent rise of the US dollar seems to be fading, and technically, gold prices seem to be rebounding. There is still a lot of uncertainty and volatility in the financial market. ”
黄金从技术面来看,黄金上周下探回升收阳,周初下探1786After stabilizing on the first line, it quickly rebounded, and after falling on the second wave of the daily line, it was accompanied by a rebound correction. The weekly harvest yields a central yangKLine. Fifty words on the daily lineKLine sorting, combined with the rebound of the previous day's positive line. The daily line is still in the process of rebound correction, crossKLine start stability10Above the daily line, there is still room for further upward rebound in the short term, while the daily line shows a continuous positive rebound performance. Breaking the previous extremely weak decline, we still need to pay attention to the direction selection after the rebound this week. Whether to continue the decline after the rebound correction or form a reversal remains to be determined.4The hour chart undergoes a small level of two wave rebound, with1786Make a wave of rebound to1836Afterwards, step back1807.Pushing the second wave up again, of course, is a small-scale rebound wave shape, and the current space is not yet certain whether it is a reversal of the rise. Currently, the second wave rebound is continuing. The short-term moving average turns upwards to form temporary support.1Hour chart surrounding270The unit moving average fluctuates. Currently in the process of breaking through the major moving average through consolidation. After stabilizing, the hourly chart will experience a scattered rebound upwards. During the rebound process, encountering resistance can also lead to pressure and a pullback, and the overall rhythm is still oscillating. The size of the rebound space is determined by its form. In summary, the operational strategy for gold today is guided by the advice of gold experts to mainly focus on a pullback of low to high levels, with a rebound of high levels as a supplement. Attention should be paid to the upper levels1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.
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