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The investment market does not simply move in the expected direction, and the path to success is always winding. Once it turns around, it will lose direction and enter a cycle, and the market will also be the same. The trend is certain, but it will never simply continue to move in the predetermined direction. During this period, there will be twists and turns that will shake people's hearts. At this time, it is necessary to have a good attitude to face it and not be affected by short-term trends, This is why we have always been steadfast in laying out our bands in the early stage, which is the reason for successful profits. We must keep our original intention and always strive to invest in the market. We need perseverance and determination before we can reap profits! Free and open access to team technical guidance group
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Investment itself has no risk, only out of control investments have risk
goldMarket trend analysis:
Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month23day)国际金价创一周半新高至1858.05美元盎司,受助于美元走软。尽管美国国债收益率上涨限制了以美元计价的黄金涨幅,但黄金也不确定性加剧的时候也被视为避险资产,美元指数下滑,因投资者愈发担忧美联储加速升息可能给经济带来的负面冲击。圣路易斯联储主席布拉德上周重申了他的观点,即美联储今年应该将利率提高至3.5%,以便更快地控制高通胀。老孟读金认为:关于黄金是否摆脱了中期下行趋势,还是仅仅因美元持续回调而上涨,目前尚无定论。在转向结构性看涨之前,我需要看到黄金在美元走强的情况下保持近期涨幅。10年期美债收益率在连续三个交易日下跌后走强,限制了对非孳息资产黄金的需求,但美元疲软使黄金对海外买家更具吸引力,且黄金也被视为经济危机期间的避险资产。宏观经济前景恶化以及通胀上升仍应支持黄金,股市表现不佳的风险上升增强了其分散风险的吸引力。目前美国经济陷入衰退的风险越来越大,美国经济陷入衰退的原因要么是通胀上升,要么是美联储的政策失误。老孟读金认为近期美元的升势似乎正在消退,技术上金价似乎正在反弹,金融市场仍存在很多不确定性和波动性。”
黄金技术面分析:从黄金周KOn the line, the support below the gold price is stable, and bulls have been able to stop in recent weeks8月以来的跌势,并有望迎接一波反弹行情。上方初步阻力1888附近。一条长期上行趋势线显得尤为重要,若能持续交投于此线上方,则长期行情有望迎来反转。下方1825已经转化为初步支撑;日线级别单边下跌后反弹;KDJ金叉信号增强,MACD有金叉趋势,金价低位震荡后收复200日均线,在失守该位置前,短线偏向多头,甚至有望扭转前期跌势,初步阻力在5month3Daily low point1850Near the checkpoint,21Daily moving average resistance1862Nearby,1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Resistance to retreat position1867.67附近,若能收复该位置,则增加看涨信号。下方200Daily moving average1839已经转化为初步支撑所在,进一步支撑在1830关口附近,也可以参考5Daily moving average1828.48附近位置,若回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上老孟读金建议以回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1844-1839Frontline support
Golden operation strategy
1、 Suggestions1865-70Participated empty, stop loss1878, look at the goal1850-45;
2、 Suggestions1850-45Multiple participation, stop loss1840, look at the goal1865-70;
crude oilMarket trend analysis:
原油方面,上周预判思路和方向基本大致一样,周一先拉升并未压制,空单布局失败;周二,和周三处于高位,短周期顶背驰,多次给出高位挂空,好几次都略差一点而错过最高点狙击空,周三EIA利多不涨,给出112.3直接波段做空(06合约),周四白盘110.5仍是继续空,最终105目标刚好全部到位,然后105逢低提示反手做多,周四半夜又到位112-112.3目标,此时再挂单进空入场,周五转换07合约,对应109.6空,最低下探108.1,到位108一线目标,可惜没盯盘,错过了低位,在心大的情况下,最终反而小损60点离场,美盘原本计划的110.9高空,也提前下手,导致入场点不佳,最终提示稳健小赚离场,整体上周一和周五有所小坎坷,但仅仅周三和周四这两日抓的多空利润,就已经拿下千点,还是可以的;
今日来看,周线继续按照震荡慢上行,上周并未回调到位,101一线下轨仍有测试的风险,同时短周期小时线级别macd明显有顶背驰状态,价格震荡抗跌逼空运行,但多头红柱并未放量,就说明随时会有一波跳水;阻力按照通道衍生来看,关注111.7下,支撑110-109.5,失守了才能进一步压制,从而短期才会结束逼空;操作上,处于高位仍尝试高空,即便打损,也不好高位直接去追涨;
I don't know what kind of dream you have in the investment market, and I don't care how much you put in for this dream and how much disappointment you have. But if you always carry this dream, you can definitely achieve it! The process of realizing your dreams is very difficult and not easy. In the process of striving for your dreams, you will suffer repeated disappointments, failures, and endless pain. For those who have experienced hardships, please do not give up on your dreams. Painful times will always pass, and success will truly happen to you. On the investment road, the teacher is willing to become a bright light, guiding you forward. Even if there are more challenges, I will accompany you to complete them together.
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Disclaimer:以上分析内容仅代表作者个人观点,不构成具体操作,文章具有滞后性,据此操作,盈亏自负,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。
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