Guide Metallographer:5.23Today's gold trend analysis, the first step back in Golden Week to continue to be long!

Precious metal related information:

From a fundamental perspective, paying attention to the expectation of interest rate hikes and seeking preliminary clues that the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of future interest rate hikes may lead togoldBenefiting. Next week, if the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting are released, gold may experience a wave of gains. However, although the rate hike before the end of the year has decreased200Below basis points, to195About basis points, but as it is still within a typical range, the magnitude of the decrease can be ignored. If the risk of economic recession increases, we may see the Federal Reserve change its tone. Some analysts point out that despite the short-term rise in gold prices, the fundamental outlook remains bearish. The rise in the real rate of return has increased the opportunity cost of investing in gold with no interest income, and the global market has accepted the tug of war in Eastern Europe. The risks faced by global economic growth have also suppressed the demand for this metal for industrial applications.

In terms of news: The decline in US bond yields supported safe haven gold, with US bond yields falling for the third consecutive trading day as investors remain increasingly concerned about signs of economic slowdown. As the Federal Reserve embarks on its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades, economic data is weak, including a higher than expected number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits in the United States, highlighting the risks to economic growth. Concerns about potential economic recession have driven investors into goldETF 。 There are more data this week, from European and American countries5monthPMIData and the United States4Initial monthly rate of durable goods orders. And the Federal Reserve on Thursday morning5The meeting minutes of the monthly resolution will be the focus of this week

Analysis of Today's Gold Trend:

Last week, gold prices bottomed out and rebounded, reaching their lowest point in the session1786.7, highest1849.3, closing with a large positive line1845.4On Friday, the daily chart rose first and then fell, washing the market before closing again, in line with expectations. From the current market situation, the weekly chart shows a positive closing, and it is difficult to break the bottom in the short term at least, but it surged to1857.5After the first line, it is basically a flash sale, which indicates that the suppression of large selling at this level is also significant. However, this does not mean that prices will immediately reverse. It is just a normal adjustment after encountering strong pressure, which means that the trend remains mostly unchanged, while the daily chart bottoms out and rebounds. After stabilizing at the acceleration line and rising for a long time, it seems that the bullish trend has not changed significantly. In the short term, the focus is on the first line and the upper line, Only here will there be a real turning point, and the four hour chart rose in the early trading and then went down after being suppressed by the first line. Currently, the focus is on whether the line change can recover this downward trend. Once it cannot recover, it is expected to undergo a wave of four hour level adjustments. However, after the hour chart rose and fell, the upward pattern has not changed at all. In the short term, if you go through a four hour level vacancy, you must observe the second turning point of the hour chart, Once the hour chart turns, it will definitely turn four hours into a short position. Secondly, for five consecutive weeks, Monday has been a sharp decline, forming a bottoming rebound last Monday. Therefore, my personal view of today's market will go up and down, and the expectation of breaking the limit will not be far for Monday. The key points below are the bottom line of the hour chart and the trend line support. In summary, the guidance for gold today's operation is that the gold analyst suggests a pullback to a much lower level, supplemented by a rebound to a higher level, Short term focus below1830-1825Continued support on the front line, pressure on the target above1860-1865

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